Nov 03, 2018
Freddy Wills
Kentucky +8.5 2.2% play
This is the best defense that Georgia has played on the road the last two years. Kentucky ranks top 20 in opponent QB rating, sack %, and they are 12th vs. the run. Georgia has played two similar defenses on the road who were top 25 in pass defense with Jake Fromm and they lost both by 22, and 23 points to Auburn & LSU, who are two teams also not known for their ...
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Oct 30, 2018
Freddy Wills
Week #9 Misleading Finals
South Alabama loses 38-17 to Troy, during the week last week, and we were on this game, but on the wrong side. South Alabama actually had a 20% post game win probability, as they were only -25 yards, +12 % success rate, so where did they go wrong? They were -1 TO margin, and they were 2.83 points per opportunity compared to 6.33 for Troy. South Alabama goes on the ro...
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Oct 30, 2018
Freddy Wills
Miami Ohio +7 3.3% playMiami Ohio only 2 big losses came at the hands of Cincinnati, a team that is having an excellent season, and that game came in inclement weather, and Minnesota, a team form the BIG TEN with much more talent. The non-conference schedule for Miami Ohio having played Marshall, Minnesota, and Cincinnati is much stronger than Buffalo's schedule against an FCS, Temple who was pl...
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Oct 28, 2018
Freddy Wills
49ers -1.5 5.5% NFL POD ...
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Oct 28, 2018
Freddy Wills
Packers +8 3.3% NFL play ...
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Oct 28, 2018
Freddy Wills
Broncos +10 -1.20 3.5% Play ...
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Oct 28, 2018
Freddy Wills
Seahawks +140 2% play ...
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Oct 28, 2018
Freddy Wills
Jets/Bears Over 42.5 2.2% play ...
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Oct 28, 2018
Freddy Wills
Steelers -2 / Vikings +7.5 3.3% play ...
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Oct 27, 2018
Freddy Wills
California +375 1% play
Live dog here in Cal in my opinion who gave Oregon a tough game at home and really outplayed them in the box score a few weeks ago, but they were -4 TO margin. Before last week they turned the ball over 14 times in a 3 game span. They finally went to the freshman QB Chase Garbers, who is a mobile QB threat, and I think Cal's defense which is very underrated should keep...
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Oct 27, 2018
Freddy Wills
Kentucky +7.5 -120 3.5% play
Kentucky is being completely disrespected here, and that is the one thing that motivates this team more than anything. I don't really understand the love for Missouri. I get that Kentucky's QB Terry Wilson threw for 18 yards last week and the strength of MIssouri's defense is the run defense, but the Kentucky Vanderbilt game was all about getting out with a win. ...
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Oct 27, 2018
Freddy Wills
Florida +7 -115 5% NCAAF POD
Georgia has not looked good in the trenches in their two games against top 30 opponents Missouri, and LSU. Though they won at MIssouri they gave up 4 rushing TD's, and were lucky to have been +2 TO margin. They lost at LSU 2 weeks ago at the line of scrimmage as LSU rushed for 275 yards compared to Georgia's 113. Florida hosted LSU and beat them by out rushing the...
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Oct 27, 2018
Freddy Wills
Connecticut +180 2% play
Last week I told you to close your eyes and take Uconn +34 at South Florida for our free pick winner which is now 37-13 ATS over my last 50 free college football plays. Here I say Uconn will pull the outright upset at home. The weather on Saturday in Connecticut is calling for rain, winds gusting to 15mph, and the total has dropped 8.5 points from 74 to 65.5 despite t...
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Oct 27, 2018
Freddy Wills
Northwestern +4.5 2.2% play
Wisconsin really has not proven anything to be a big road favorite against a division opponent fighting to get into the division lead. Northwestern is always a solid under dog, now 8-0 ATS in their last 8. Wisconsin looked back to normal last week as they pounded Illinois 49-20, but I would argue otherwise, and we saw Northwestern look awful in a 18-15 win over Rut...
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Oct 27, 2018
Freddy Wills
Purdue +8 w/ Texas A&M +7.5 4.4% NCAAF Teaser
Purdue +8 - I'm going with the better team here and I'm not expecting a "let down." Jeff Brohm is a very good coach, and Purdue is fighting to get to the Big Ten Championship, a real possibility right now. MIchigan State's injuries are just piling up, and they can't run the ball ranking 120th in the country, and that will allow Purdue's aggres...
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Oct 27, 2018
Freddy Wills
Army pk 3.3% play
For Eastern Michigan this is their 9th game in 9 weeks, and the idea that Army looks ahead to the Air Force game is just not true. They beat Temple and Wake Forest the last two years the week before Air Force, and MOnken has called Eastern Michigan one of the best teams they've played all year.
Actually Eastern Michigan is much like Army in the fact that they play hard, b...
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Oct 25, 2018
Freddy Wills
Western Michigan -5 2.2% play This is a bad spot for Toledo, who is down this year. They have a quick turnaround (played Saturday) and have to go on the road after their defense was on the field for 96 plays, and 40 of the 60 minutes. Western Michigan who loves to run the ball should be able to control this game, as they rank 27th in yards per carry going up against a Toledo defen...
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Oct 23, 2018
Freddy Wills
South Alabama +13 4.4% PODDoes this sound like a team you want to back as a double digit road favorite? In their last game with a backup QB that they are with for the rest of the season they lost 3 TO's, had 10 penalties, and went 4-15 on third down. Troy has played on average a 114th ranked defense, and they are still holding onto their victory at Nebraska which looks less and less impressive...
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Oct 21, 2018
Freddy Wills
Ravens -2.5 -115 5.5% NFL POD ...
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Oct 21, 2018
Freddy Wills
Jaguars -4 4.4% play ...
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Oct 21, 2018
Freddy Wills
Eagles -5 2.2% play ...
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Oct 21, 2018
Freddy Wills
Titans +7 -125 3% play - buy up to 7 ...
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Oct 21, 2018
Freddy Wills
Bears +8 / Redskins +7.5 3.3% Teaser ...
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Oct 20, 2018
Freddy Wills
Nevada +3 3.3% PlayThis is Hawaii's 9th straight game traveling back and forth from Island can take it's toll. Here they get a Nevada team hungry for a win after facing the conference's two best teams in Fresno and Boise State. They got their QB Ty Gangi back in last week's game against Boise State and he looked excellent throwing for more than 300 yards. Nevada here has by far t...
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Oct 20, 2018
Freddy Wills
Kentucky -11
5.5% NCAAF POD If you have been following me this year you know I am a fan of Kentucky backing them against Florida and Texas A&M. This is a great matchup for Kentucky coming off a bye where Vanderbilt is off back to back physical games in SEC play where they were dominated at the line of scrimmage. Kentucky will also get another night game at home, and the weather favors thei...
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