Oct 20, 2018
Freddy Wills
Miss State +6.5 2.2% play
Both of these teams are pretty similar in the fact that they want to run the ball and try to do so at 60% of the time. Neither team has an efficient QB, and that makes the running game that much more important. I think MIss State has the advantage being fresher off the bye while LSU just played 3 SEC games in a row with the last 2 coming against physical opponents G...
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Oct 20, 2018
Freddy Wills
Uconn +34 1.1% Free Play Close your eyes and back the Huskies this week. They are off a bye, and going against an inflated number considering they are 0-5-1 ATS, but there are some things to like here as they go up against South Florida, who is ranked in the top 25, and we all know they are not a top 25 team. South Florida has a much bigger game on deck at Houston. Uconn has...
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Oct 20, 2018
Freddy Wills
Wake Forest +10.5 4.4% play
What has Florida State proven to show that they should be a double digit favorite? They nearly upset Miami, I get that, but they only had 200 yards in that game of total offense. Florida State should have lost to an awful Louisville team teh week before that, and they were dominated on the road against a slightly above average Syracuse team. Meanwhile Wake Forest c...
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Oct 20, 2018
Freddy Wills
Buffalo -1 3.3% play We did not get the best of this line unfortunately, but still feel great about Buffalo here. There will be 15mph winds, and some light rain, and the total has dropped 6 points. I have Buffalo a favorite here, and I expect they will win.
Both teams rely on the running game 58% of the time, and need to in a game like this where the weather will be a factor. Buffalo is j...
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Oct 20, 2018
Freddy Wills
Auburn -3.5 2.2% play I like Auburn here who we are obviously buying low on after they lost back to back games, and everyone is rumoring that Gus Malzahn is out if he loses this game. I think he gets a full effort from his team against a team that may just not care. Ole MIss can't go to a bowl game, they just lost their #2WR in DK Metcalf to a neck injury for the season, and they have struggled ...
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Oct 20, 2018
Freddy Wills
Michigan State +7 3.3% playThis could not set up any better for the Spartans who are getting disrespected all over the place despite being 8-2 in the last 10 meetings, 10-0 ATS. The weather is the bigger reason why I'm backing the Spartans on Saturday as it's going to be rainy, and windy, and Jim Harbough already struggled to come up with an innovative offensive play in regular weather. ...
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Oct 20, 2018
Freddy Wills
Maryland +275 1.5% Play I think there is good value here when you factor in that Iowa won't be able to take advantage of their obvious offensive strength which is passing the ball. Iowa's running game is 87th in the country and they'll be going up against Maryland's 13th ranked run defense. There will be 24mph winds in this game, and this game is going to come down to who can run ...
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Oct 18, 2018
Freddy Wills
Arizona State +2.5 2.2% PlayThis play is a late release, because I was holding out for a 3, but only one shop has it, but I feel comfortable with Arizona State here, and think they pull the upset. Stanford has a lot of weaknesses right now with their only strength being the QB play of KJ Costello. Costello, however has been sacked a lot ranking 83rd in sack % for a team that passes the...
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Oct 17, 2018
Freddy Wills
6-2 ATS in college 3-2 ATS in NFL hitting on all of our POD's. Losers were our free play and second leg of a teaser on Georgia -1.5. NFL losers were Titans +8.5 on a teaser, and Patriots by a half point, but it's back to back winning weekends in college football and 6 for 6 winning weekends in the NFL.
Check out Freddywills.com, I'll be posting a very exclusive promotion that I will send a l...
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Oct 14, 2018
Freddy Wills
Broncos +6.5 3.3% play ...
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Oct 14, 2018
Freddy Wills
Colts +8.5 / Titans +8.5 4.4% Teaser ...
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Oct 14, 2018
Freddy Wills
Steelers +105 5.5% POD ...
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Oct 14, 2018
Freddy Wills
Redskins +1 2.2% play ...
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Oct 14, 2018
Freddy Wills
Patriots -3.5 -105 3.3% play ...
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Oct 13, 2018
Freddy Wills
California -7 1.1% Free Play Grabbing this number now as it is sure to go up. UCLA played great against Washington at home last week, but this is a different story going on the road to face a Cal team that is off back to back misleading finals. Cal lost on the road to Arizona 17-24 despite a post game win probability of 93%. They were +211 yards in the game, but had far too ...
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Oct 13, 2018
Freddy Wills
Iowa State +6.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
Iowa State 9-2 ATS in their last 11 as a dog, and they are a significant step up in competition for West Virginia. West Virginia is not #6 ranked team just like LSU was not #5 going on the road as a favorite a week ago and losing at Florida. This is the Big 12 version of that with Iowa State playing very well despite injuries at QB position Iowa State managed t...
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Oct 13, 2018
Freddy Wills
Louisiana Tech -10.5 3.3% play
This is a hidden gem in my opinion as UTSA is off 3 misleading victories over arguably the three worst teams in college football, Rice, UTEP, Texas STate who are a combined 0-14 vs. FBS. The strength of schedule for UTSA can't get worse at #126, and their offense ranks #130 having faced an average defense ranking #91 in yards per play. How is that possible? H...
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Oct 13, 2018
Freddy Wills
Virginia +7 4.4% play
Virginia was in their second road game last year at Miami and led 28-14 late, before Miami scored the final 30 points to win 44-28 in misleading fashion a year ago as Miami was outgained by 79 yards. Virginia simply ran out of gas which is something they will not due this Saturday in a RARE night game in Virginia off a bye.
Virginia is actually expecting a good crowd h...
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Oct 13, 2018
Freddy Wills
Purdue -10.5 2.2% play
Purdue in their largest away favorite role since 2007, but for good reason. They come fresh off a bye here needing another win, and the matchup is favorable. First of all Purdue's defense which was supposed to take a step back this year has played very well of late. The strength of the defense is getting to the QB and stopping the run. Illinois strength is running the ...
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Oct 13, 2018
Freddy Wills
Duke +8.5 / Georgia -1.5 4.4% Teaser of the WeekDuke +8.5 Teaser
A lot of people are picking Duke here to pull the upset which makes me a bit nervous, but I do feel like we have great value with the teaser. Duke, of course very familiar with the option, and has done great against it going 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. an option team which includes 4-0 ATS run vs. Georgia Tech covering those games...
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Oct 13, 2018
Freddy Wills
Florida -7 2.2% play
My math models have this game around -10. Normally I would want to fade FLorida in this situation, but they are a different team this year. They rely on the run and they are good at it ranking #25 in the country despite facing an adjusted opponent defense ranking #1. Vanderbilt comes into this game ranking #84 defending the run, and that's against an opponent average rus...
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Oct 12, 2018
Freddy Wills
Utah -13.5 3.3% PlayBoth teams off misleading victories last week, but Utah has had many misleading losses this year and could very easily be undefeated. Their misleading victory over Stanford was at least a dominating 40-21 on the road. Arizona got +4 TO's against Cal including two pick 6's, but only won 24-17 at home. Now Arizona most go on the road to on a short week to play U...
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Oct 10, 2018
Freddy Wills
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Oct 10, 2018
Freddy Wills
Last Week's recap: 4-4 week in college 3-2 week in NFL. Cashing in on all the big plays including both my college and pro football POD's, and a +448 parlay in college. Unfortunately my free picks did not do well this week which is very unusual, and I expect a rebound this week.This week's promo - $99 rest of October NFL + NCAAF Guaranteed 12% profit or the rest of the season is FREEWEEK...
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Oct 07, 2018
Freddy Wills
Raiders +5 3.3% play ...
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