Nov 04, 2022 Freddy Wills
Oregon State +4.5 3.3% play Oregon State has not been a good road team of late, but I think tha'ts why we are getting +4.5, and the bye definitely helps with traveling on the road, and they are helped by the fact that Jonathan Smith their HC is familiar with Washington as he coached here. The Beavers are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 trips. Oregon State upset Utah last year off theirNov 03, 2022 Freddy Wills
App STate -3 2.2% play Huge strength of schedule discrepancy here as App State's top 3 oppnents are better than any of Coastal's opponents. Coastal also only played 1 opponent with a +ypp differential and got beat 21-49 at home to Old Dominion who is +0.3 with an average opponent ypp diff of -0.15. App State is also +0.3, but vs. an average opponent +0.17. App State has a head sOct 31, 2022 Freddy Wills
Bengals -3 -120 2.5% playOct 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Seahawks -3 5.5% MAX NFL PODOct 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Patriots -125 3.5% playOct 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Steelers +10.5 1.1% Free Play **78-50 +$41,377 L 128 free NFL picksOct 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Panthers +4 2.2% playOct 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Vikings/Cardinals Under 1st Half 24 2.2% playOct 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Dolphins / Lions Over 51.5 2.2 %playOct 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Broncos +8 / Commanders +9 3.3% NFL teaserOct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Kentucky +3.5 2nd halfOct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Pitt +3 5.5% NCAAF POD I have to put last week’s Pitt game behind me as it was our top play, and it’s usually a little difficult for me to get back to the window after a team burned me like Pitt did coming with 4 to’s at Louisville in my biggest play of the week, but not getting to the window the next week is a little square so here we are in a match up I like even more. 2Oct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
UAB -4.5 2.2% PLAY Straight fade of FAU who is now 9-18-1 ATS under Willie Taggart. UAB could be without their starting QB here, but that won't matter as they run the ball 66% of the time rank 7th in ypc, going up against FAU who is 109th in ypc defense. This play is more about the fact that FAU struggles when they face good defenses. UAB ranks 27th in ypp defense while FAU ranks 69thOct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Texas A&M +8 / Baylor +8.5 2.2% teaser Ole Miss exposed a bit in the second half on the road at LSU as the LSU defense dominated, and I think we see more of that from the Aggies defense at home in a bit of a desperate spot. This is still a night game at Kyle Field, and the Aggies hold a very good home field. Jimbo Fisher typically bounces back and wins a game with his back againsOct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Missouri +3.5 3.3% play This will be a tight game in my opinion as Missouri is a top 20 defense ranking top 20 vs. the run and vs. the pass. I don’t see how South Carolina gets points here to cover the spread as their offense is pretty bad and Spencer Rattler has been very underwhelming. Missouri should have won at Florida, should have won at Auburn, and gave Georgia a dog fightOct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Nebraska +7.5 2.2% play I think this is nice spot for Nebraska who seemed to get a nice bump after their bye a few weeks ago, and here are getting another bye, meanwhile Illinois in a flat spot after 3 weeks in a row against tough opponents, Wisconsin, Iowa and Minnesota, where they were dogs in 2 of the 3. This is also Illinois 3rd road game of the year, and they lost earlier against IndiaOct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Cinci +2 3.3% play Gus Malzahn needs the running game for his offense to work. It’s been no different at UCF where he’s just 1-5 vs. teams with a top 60 run defense. UCF has an interesting dynamic at QB with Plumlee, but he’s a one dimensional player and it’s something a quality defensive minded coach like Fickel can scheme for. Plumlee as a starter datinOct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Notre Dame +3 -120 4% play Major let down spot for Syracuse after blowing a double digit lead against Clemson in a very phsyical game. To make it worse they had a roughing the passer late in the game that really cost them the game. I don't think they have much left for this game, and why did Sean Tucker only have 5 carries in the game? I don't htink Tucker is completely healthy,Oct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Iowa State +1.5 2.2% play Iowa State 0-4 in Big 12 play, but their losses are by a total of 14 points, and I think they are on the right track with their 3 point loss to Texas as Hunter Dekkers played by far his best game, and will be aided by the fact that they are facing at eam who ranks 106th in ypc defense, and at home again. Oklahoma on the other hand are playing their tougheOct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
West Virginia +7.5 3.3% play / West Virginia +240 0.3% play TCU now off 5 straight games that have gone down to the wire with 4 of them being against top 20 opponents, and the 5th being against Sonny Dykes old team, SMU. TCU now goes on the road to face West Virginia in a bit of a let down/sleepy spot, and it’s a spot that TCU has struggled losing 4 straight to West Virginia, and SonnOct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Arkansas -3.5 1.1% Free Play I believe Bryan Harsin is a dead guy walking here and a bye is not going to save his job. Arkansas is coming in a little under rated even though they are a field goal favorite this was a team that was destined for a top 10 rating before they lost to Texas A&M on a KJ Jefferson fumble that was returned for a TD, making it a 10-14 point swing. The bye ceOct 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Kentucky / Tennessee Over 62 3.3% play This is a game I certainly lean Kentucky on the side, but I'm concerned with how fast Tennessee plays and gets out early in games. I would rather play Kentuck +14 or higher in live action or play them 2nd half. This was a back and forth game last year, and Kentucky's defense is not as good, while Will Levis and the passing game is better as LevisOct 28, 2022 Freddy Wills
BYU -3 3.3% PLAY Can’t really compare the strength of schedules here. East Carolina’s only P5 opponent was NC State to open the season, while BYU has faced Arkansas, Notre Dame, Oregon, Baylor, and then a very good Liberty team. East Carolina also getting a bit more love than they should after beating UCF last week 34-13. UCF likely looking ahead to this week’sOct 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Washington State +7 2.2% play Statistically we have a pretty even match up as WAshington STate +0.2 yards per play vs. an average opponent +0.36, while Utah is +0.1 vs. average opponent +0.5. Washington State has a very good home field advantage, in fact Utah has not won here since 2011. Both teams off a bye, but I think that favors Washington State a bit more considering they had strugglesOct 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Tampa -130 2.5% play
