Nov 12, 2022 Freddy Wills
Army / Troy Under 46 2.2% play Army fresh off their disappointing loss to Air Force has to go back on the road to face an elite Troy team. This Troy defense has been a top 20 defense against the pass and run, and their defensive staff has a ton of experience around the option. DC Shiel Wood spent the last two seasons at Army, and before that he coached at Georgia Tech under Paul JohnsNov 12, 2022 Freddy Wills
Purdue +7 -120 3% play Illinois played two teams who were pass first offenses, that also could stop the run on defense, and they lost both of those games. Losing on the road to Indiana and at home to Michigan State a week ago. Purdue features an epa run defense that ranks 17th, while they pass the ball over 60% of the time. Illinois pass defense ranks 4th in epa, but a look at tNov 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
Panthers +8.5 / Steelers +7.5 2.2% playNov 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
Tulsa +220 0.2% playNov 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
Tulsa +7 2.2% play / Tulsa +220 0.2% bonus I think Tulsa is the more desperate team for a win, and there is nothing special about this Memphis team. We backed Memphis last week against UCF and it was a great match up for their pass first scheme, but there were multiple coaching decision in that game that not only cost Memphis the game, but the cover. Tulsa’s head coach Phillip MNov 09, 2022 Freddy Wills
Kent State -2 2.2% play Let’s talk strength of schedule. Kent State’s road games this year @ Toledo best team in the MAC, @Georgia, @Washignton, @Oklahoma, and at Miami Ohio (better statistically than Bowling Green). Bowling Green at 5-4 wins here and they get to a bowl game for the first time in 7 years, but they do have another opportunity on deck with Ohio, while Kent StateNov 07, 2022 Freddy Wills
Saints +1.5 2.2% playNov 06, 2022 Freddy Wills
Seahawks / Cardinals Under 49 3.3% playNov 06, 2022 Freddy Wills
Bucs -150 3% playNov 06, 2022 Freddy Wills
Cardinals -1.5 5.5% NFL PODNov 06, 2022 Freddy Wills
Carolina Panthers +7.5 -115 3% playNov 06, 2022 Freddy Wills
Commanders +3.5 -115 4% playNov 06, 2022 Freddy Wills
Bears +10.5 / Jaguars +8.5 3.3% teaser of the weekNov 06, 2022 Freddy Wills
Falcons +3 1.1% Free PlayNov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
Clemson -3 -120 buy 1/2 3.5% play Notre Dame can not win at home, and their offense really struggles if they can't run the ball. They'll face a stout defense this week and Clemson has something to prove after their bye and not being listed in the college football playoff. Beating Notre Dame is nothing special this season, but you can only play who is on the schedule. Dabo will hNov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
Houston +3.5 2.2% play Tons of tickets and money on SMU bringing this up over the key # of 3. I actually think Houston is the better team, and they have played in tons of close games already. They really don’t have a bad loss on their schedule, and while their opponents have an average -0.4 ypp, that’s distorted by South Florida’s -1.7, as well as the fact that 6 ofNov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
Memphis +3.5 5.5% NCAAF POD Memphis off the bye and Cincinnati in a huge sandwich spot after their huge victory over Cincinnati in what was a very physical game. I felt Cinci’s game plan lacked a bit on offense and they should have thrown the ball to attack the weakness of UCF’s defense, which is their pass coverage. UCF has Tulane the top ranked team in the AAC up next.&nNov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
Tennnessee Vols +8 3.3% play It’s clear that Tennessee’s defense has improved from last year, and Georgia’s defense has taken a small step back that has gone really unnoticed to this point. Josh Heupel’s offenses have had success against Kirby Smart’s defenses in the past putting up 27 points in 2016 at Missouri, and 28 in 2017, and while Tennessee only scoredNov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
Iowa State -1 / Kansas State +8.5 3.3% teaser of the week! We bet West Virginia +7.5 last week against TCU and it was a brutal loss ATS, with a hail mary at the end to beat us despite TCU already having a 3 point lead. Honestly, West Virginia played worse than I thought and it was against a bad defense. West Virginia is a horrible road team, and while Iowa State has not been able to gNov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
Georgia Tech + 3.5 3.3% Georgia Tech has faced the far tougher schedule with Clemson, Ole Miss, and UCF in their non-conference compared to Virginia Tech’s Old Dominion, and West Virginia. All 7 of Georgia Tech’s opponents are + in yards per play differential for an average +0.91, while Virginia Tech’s opponents are on average -.31. With that said the statistical proNov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
Army / Air Force Under 40.5 2.2% play Might come back and play this over, but this spread is only going to drop.Nov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
Maryland / Wisconsin Under 49 2.2% play There are some 49.5 out there if you shop, but using the books I utilize I only have a 49. This play is based on the weather report of 20mph winds with 50mph gusts, which will impact both teams ability to throw the ball. Expect a conservative game plan, and both defenses are top 30 against the run, which I'm expecting much more of in this game.&Nov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
Iowa +4.5 2.2% play The weather is definitely not favoring Purdue in this one with 23mph winds, and 40 mph gusts and a 40% chance of rain for a pass first offense. Iowa has struggled against Jeff Brohm who is 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS, but the average spread in those 5 meetings have been Iowa -7, and now Iowa is the dog of greater than a field goal. This is the role I loveNov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
Texas AM -3 3.3% play This is a huge must win game for the Aggies if they want to get to a bowl game. This is only Florida’s second true road game of the season and they have lost their last 5 SEC road games. I think the Aggies found something in their 5* freshman QB who had 338 passing yards against Ole Miss last week in their 28-31 loss. He should have more success thisNov 05, 2022 Freddy Wills
LSU +14 -120 BUY 1/2 1.2% PLAY I feel this spread is a bit inflated for Saban off a bye, and Saban's dominance in his two games against Brian Kelly at Notre Dame. Brian Kelly has much more talent here at LSU, and LSU should be motivated with the SEC West on the line. I like how LSU has gotten better ast he season has gone along. Alabama lacks the explosive receivers they had last year
