Dec 02, 2022 Freddy Wills
USC -135 4% PAC 12 Championship play Utah backed themselves into this PAC 12 Championship game, and USC has a huge opportunity to get the PAC 12 back to the College Football playoff. Are the refs going to be very kind to USC here in this game? Either way Utah by the #'s just aren't the same team as last year where they were +1.5 yards per play vs. an opponent average diff +0.Dec 02, 2022 Freddy Wills
North Texas / UTSA Over 69.5 2.2% play Even with this high total I think we are getting some value. We have two experienced QB's who are the strenght of the team. Both rank in the top 25 in QB rating, and both pass defense are outside the top 75 in ep apass defense, and neither team is very good on third down defense or getting ot the QB. UTSA ranks 113th in sack %, they are also 128Dec 01, 2022 Freddy Wills
Josh Allen Over 45 rush yards 1.1% playDec 01, 2022 Freddy Wills
Patriots +4 2.2% playNov 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Saints /49ers Over 42.5 3.3% playNov 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Raiders / Seahawks O47.5 2.2% playNov 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Cardinals +3 -120 2.4% playNov 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Jaguars +3.5 1.1% Free PlayNov 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Jets -1 / Titans +7.5 3.3% teaser playNov 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Bucs -3 -120 3.5% playNov 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Panthers +7.5 / Steelers +9 3.5% 6.5 point teaserNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Notre Dame +5 3.3% play I like the Irish here and think they match up very well against USC who is very terrible on first down defense. What does that mean? It means Notre Dame should set themselves up in 3rd and short. They should be able to run the ball as USC ranks 120th in epa run defense. This game reminds me of the game against North Carolina earlier in the year, andNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Southern Miss -3 3.3% play Southern Miss is hunting for their 6th win to get bowl eligible, while LA Monroe has 7 losses and won’t be going bowling. You can’t blindly back these, but this is one that I like. I think we are getting some value, because if you just look at recent results, Southern Miss off 3 losses, including a big loss to Georgia State, while Monroe beat GeoNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Iowa State +10 3.3% play I don't think TCU i really looking ahead to the Big 12 Championship, and this game does have meaning if they want to get to the college football playoff, but this is Iowa State's bowl game. Matt Campbell does not really coach to lose regardless of what is on the line, and he is a great coach in the under dog role. TCU has played in 8 games this season that werNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Wisconsin -3 -115 4% play Wisconsin not having their typical season, but Jim Leonard has a chance to win the Battle of the Axe game and secure the HC job. This Wisconsin team has struggled on the road this season going just 2-3, and suddenly their 1 point escape at Nebraska looks a bit better as Nebraska upset Iowa on the road last night. Wisconsin has won games when they win the passNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Oregon / Oregon State Under 58 5.5% NCAAF POD This is a big game for Oregon who can get to the PAC 12 Championship with a win. Oregon State is just a very hard team to beat on the road. USC was able to do it 17-14, but that’s because Oregon State had costly turnovers. I think with two run heavy teams, and Bo Nix not being 100%, he had 2 rushes last week we could see a loweNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Kentucky -144 3.5% play Kentucky fully motivated at home against Louisville here looking to avoid a 3 game losing streak overall and at home. They want to get to a better bowl game, Will Levis needs to have a good game against a good defense, and I think he’s fully capable. I still value the SEC over most conferences, but definitely over the ACC, which is only 5-14 vs. tNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
UTEP +17 1.1% FREE PLAY UTSA already in the conference championship and have nothing to play for here, while UTEP trying to get to a bowl game for the second season in a row, which is a big deal for them. UTSA last year in a similar role with a lot more to play for as they were undefeated fighting for an undefeated season. They were already going to the Conference Championship, went oNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ohio State / Michigan Under 28 1st half 2.2% play A lot on the line here and I expect a more conservative start for both teams. We have seen Ohio State's offense struggle a bit as well, as their explosive weapons have not been 100% this season. I think this could go over for the game, but hte first half under has some value.Nov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Georgia STate +7 -120 2.5% play Georgia State 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games, a role they are more than fine playing in. They’ll make the trip to Marshall for the first time, and with 7 losses have nothing to play for, but I would argue their senior leadership on offense and defense have something to play for, their LAST GAME. This was a team that really was supposed to beNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ohio State -1.5 / Washington State +7.5 3.3% teaser Ohio State -1.5 – Ohio State’s defense is much improved, and I think we have seen some red flags with Michigan on what they can do on offense. They are very much one dimensional, and that dimension is banged up right now with RB’s not 100% and some of the offensive line banged up. No doubt they’ll likely plaNov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Arizona / Arizona St Over 66 2.2% play I think this total is compressed just a little bit after both teams just got done play two top 50 defense in their last two games. I lean to the Arizona State side as the dog as they have the better pass defense, but they are on the road and when they have face da top 50 offense this year they have given up 42, 38, 50, and 31 points. Arizona playNov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
California +11 1.1% Free Play home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 matchups here. This play is a fade of UCLA that just played their hearts out with a chance to get to the PAC 12 Championship. DTR was crying on the field in his last home game and now they have to go on the road to face Cal as double digit favorites. Cal themselves off a huge win over Stanford for the first time iNov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Arkansas -3.5 3.3% play A lot of people backing Missouri this week simply bc Arkansas has 6 wins and off a big win, and Missouri at 5-6 fighting for a bowl, but Arkansas has plenty to play for here as well. I love that this came down to 3 and show major value on the Arkansas side. Going 7-5 is better than 6-6, and offers more bowl options, this is their DC, Barry Odom return to MissouNov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Iowa -0.5 / Florida State +0.5 / Kansas St -1.5 3.3% 10 point teaser Iowa has plenty of motivation here with a win they are in the Big Ten Championsihp game. The emergenc eof Kaleb Johnson should get Iowa a comfortable win here. He ran for 200 yards on 22 carries vs. a much better Purdue run defense. Defensively Iowa is stout and should hold Nebraska to 13 points or fewer.
