Oct 21, 2017
Freddy Wills
Tulane +11.5 3.3% & ML +370 0.5%
South Florida has to be peaking ahead to Houston at home next week and that's a dangerous proposition when you are facing an option team on the road. South Florida has played the easiest schedule and their defense that is looking like a top 25 unit is not! South Florida has only faced one offense ranked in the top 100 in yards per play. Yet they are sti...
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Oct 21, 2017
Freddy Wills
Oregon +220 2.5% DOG OF THE WEEK
I have this game as a pk, but recent perception on Oregon who just had to go against two tough defenses with a new QB had them in two blowouts. Oregon's offense right now needs to run the ball as Braxton Burmeister can not throw. Luckily UCLA is ranked 129th in rushing yards per carry allowed, and Oregon should be able to run the ball in this game.
On the flip...
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Oct 21, 2017
Freddy Wills
Pitt +8 2.2% PLAY
I think there is some decent value here with Pitt this week who is in desperation mode having only won 2 games they need a win here in order to get on a run to get to a bowl. Their problem so far has been a tough schedule. Pitt's offense ranks 98th, and they lost their QB Max Browne, but I don't see that as a big loss, and they have faced several tough defenses on the year i...
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Oct 21, 2017
Freddy Wills
Texas +7 105 2.5% Play
Surprisingly this hasn't been a hangover spot for Texas following the Red River Rivalry. They have gone 18-1 SU and 14-4 ATS following their match-up with Oklahoma. Texas nearly won last week and it looks like they found a QB for the future in Sam Ehlinger who was impressive in that game really took it over and is tough as nails. Really reminds me of Tim Tebow. Now To...
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Oct 21, 2017
Freddy Wills
Missouri -13.5 1.1% Free Play
I like Missouri who loves to run the score up against non-power 5 schools. Idaho coming off a tough loss to Appalachian State at home as they blew a 20-0 lead. Idaho has lost 4 of their last 5 games and just aren't a very good team on offense and they have struggled at points against good offenses. They will now go on the road to face a Missouri team who probably ...
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Oct 21, 2017
Freddy Wills
Northwestern +8 / Michigan St -0.5 4.4% TeaserNorthwestern +8
This game has a low total in the 40's, and we are getting the home dog at +8 with the teaser. I actually think the wrong team is favored, but Iowa is off the bye. Northwestern is actually playing better defense and has the advantage in the trenches which may shock you. Northwestern #15 adjusted defensive line ranking and have held ...
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Oct 20, 2017
Freddy Wills
Old Dominion +8 3.3% play / ODU +260 1% playCoaching mismatch here with Bobby Wilder over MIke Sandford who has to take his Western Kentucky on the road on a short week. That's not easy when you don't have a lot of experience. Western Kentucky won last week 45-14, but they beat arguably the worst team in college football in Charlotte. Charlotte's defensive line is ranked #130, an...
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Oct 19, 2017
Freddy Wills
Houston -3 4.4% NCAAF PODMemphis ranked #25 and is a dog here this week. We have seen this before as Memphis will likely get much of the money leading up to kickoff. However, looking at the adjusted statistic ratings as well as the efficiency ratings combined has Houston as the #26 team, and Memphis as #57.. Yet the Oddsmakers are calling this a pk on a neutral field? Houston als...
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Oct 17, 2017
Freddy Wills
Recapping the season so far as I mentioned on twitter it has not been a good year for me, I have gone 33-37 ATS on the year -23.395% luckily NFL has been good as 12-9 ATS +8.691% and we have done well on our commute podcast going 5-1 ATS. Make sure you tune into that again on Friday as we have been giving some really easy winners. Last Frida we gave out Cal +15 and of course they won outright and...
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Oct 15, 2017
Freddy Wills
Steelers +4.5 3.3% play ...
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Oct 15, 2017
Freddy Wills
BROWNS +10 5.5% POD ...
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Oct 15, 2017
Freddy Wills
Vikings +3 3.3% play ...
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Oct 14, 2017
Freddy Wills
Nebraska +24.5 3.3% Play Ohio State is not 12 points better than Wisconsin. Wisconsin was a 12.5 point favorite here a week ago although they did cover it this is a very inflated line based on recent bias as Ohio State has been on fire covering spreads. Ohio State has faced defenses ranked 88, 100, 108, 119 the last 4 weeks and the offense is clicking, but with their bye approaching next w...
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Oct 14, 2017
Freddy Wills
Cincinnati +24 1.1% Free Play
This line is a bit high,South Florida really hasn't played well offensively or up to expectations this year. Their defense has been completely dominant and has resulted in them being huge favorites, but South Florida has had the #129th ranked strength of schedule. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has already faced Michigan, Navy, and Miami Ohio all on the road. Then they fac...
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Oct 14, 2017
Freddy Wills
Northern Illinois -5.5 3.3% play
I almost took Northern Illinois a week ago against Kent State, but the weather held me back as they were a big favorite. They nearly covered anyway, but the under was my play and it was an easy winner. Northern Illinois defense was on the field for just 60 plays compared to Buffalo's defense for 99 plays in their 7 OT loss to Western Michigan. Teams playing th...
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Oct 14, 2017
Freddy Wills
Vanderbilt +3.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
Vanderbilt just had a brutal stretch of games facing Alabama, Florida and Georgia and they were outrushed in those games 1,137 to 150. We know Vanderbilt is not as good on defense this year, but they have been better offensively. Getting beat up in the trenches the last three weeks they have actually stayed healthy. Now they face a team in Ole Miss who is averag...
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Oct 14, 2017
Freddy Wills
Texas +9 3.3% Play
The Red River Rivalry is a must win game for Oklahoma after they lost last week as 30+ point favorites. Under Bob Stoops they were 28-0 after a loss, but Lincoln Riley after going up to Ohio State and defeating them as a TD dog has struggled in back to back games now. Baylor hung in their game against Oklahoma and torched that pass defense, and then after Oklahoma had a bye ...
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Oct 14, 2017
Freddy Wills
West Virginia -3 -120 (-3.5 -105 everywhere) 4% play
It's not often you see an unranked team favored against a ranked team, but here we are. These two teams have a lot in common, but West Virginia has had the tougher schedule. Their two toughest games have been on the road and they lost both games by only 7 points having out played both opponents. Last week against TCU they held a +12 first do...
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Oct 14, 2017
Freddy Wills
Rutgers +120 2.5% play
Rutgers off a bye here in a match-up of the two worst teams in the Big Ten. Honestly I have seen much more from Rutgers this year despite their poor management of time in the Eastern Michigan game they were actually in the game against Washington and have played a far tougher schedule facing two possible college football playoff teams in Ohio State and Washington. The ke...
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Oct 14, 2017
Freddy Wills
Michigan -1 / San Diego St PK 3.3% TeaserMichigan with the early start will be prepared against Indiana. If Michigan had won last week I might have been looking the other way as Indiana does have a tough defense, but Jim Harbough usually dominant following a loss, and he will have his defense prepared for a freshman QB in Patrick Ramsey. Indiana went with the younger QB who is more ath...
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Oct 13, 2017
Freddy Wills
California +15 3.3% Play
It's hard to come back and fade Washington State a third week in a row especially after I had Oregon as a POD against them, but I feel like I learned a lot watching that game. Now, Washington State is on their second road game in a row and they have now cracked the top 10. They will face another solid defense that is under rated. Oregon was very good on defense a we...
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Oct 13, 2017
Freddy Wills
Picks Include my max rated Plays! - 50-23 +$143,032 L73 Max Rated All Sports picksPicks Include Teaser of the week - 4% play - 162-117 +$129,083 L279 NCAAF 4% bankroll sportsLines will move.. These plays get released on Thursday. It's always best to invest in multiple weeks so you are getting the best odds!
How to get your picks? After you make your purchase it is easy to receive your pi...
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Oct 11, 2017
Freddy Wills
Vegas Mistakes Week #6
UTEP covered over Western Kentucky by 15.5 points in a game that you would not want to watch. Neither team eclipsed 300 total yards and it just goes to show you how far Western Kentucky has fallen without Jeff Brohm. They win the game, but Western Kentucky continues to be one of my favorite fade teams. They do not have a good coaching staff. They open up as huge favori...
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Oct 09, 2017
Freddy Wills
"The harder you work, the luckier you get." - Gary Player
Nobody works harder, and nobody knows his strengths and weaknesses better than I do. I thrive on profiting for my clients, whom live all over the world. Every handicapping expert has his niche sport. Over the years I have realized that my passion and strength in handicapping is the sport of college football.
Whil...
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Oct 08, 2017
Freddy Wills
Bengals -3 3.3% Play ...
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