Aug 24, 2018
Freddy Wills
When we look at the coaching changes in college football we are always looking towards what gives us betting value. In today's article we look at the non-power 5 coaching moves and a deep dive into what coaches do ATS over their first 3 seasons.There are only 7 total coaches in their first year in group of 5 action in 2018. 1st Year Head Coach - ATSOver the last 3 seasons first year head coaches ...
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Aug 23, 2018
Freddy Wills
I do believe the SEC this year is the best conference and they have the best returning talent. It has not been that way in recent memory with the Big Ten and the ACC the last two years being the better conferences. We factor in strength of schedule all the time and the SEC always falls short early in the season.
It is hard to predict strength of schedule when you don't know how each team...
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Aug 03, 2018
Freddy Wills
2018 Power 5 Coaching ChangesThere are quite a few head coaching changes in 2018 in the Power 5. To be exact there are 12 new coaches and some of them are big time programs like Florida State, Florida, Texas A&M, Tennessee, and Nebraska to name a few. Here is a break down of who is in.
Scott Frost - Nebraska. He played here and he did great things at Central Florida last 2 ...
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Aug 03, 2018
Freddy Wills
Offensive Line Experience 2018 College Football Offensive Line Experience By Conference
Letâ??s be honest everything starts in the trenches and if you have a good % of starts returning along the offensive line your offense should only improve. Iâ??m constantly looking for betting value and production along the offensive line vs. previous years are one of the key factors. Some of these teams ...
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Aug 03, 2018
Freddy Wills
2018 Season PromotionThank you for listening to my podcast on ITUNES or your favorite podcast device. WHAT: Earn 1 of 5 prizes listed at the bottom of this page including a 49" 4K TV!. WHEN: The contest is live until September 15th, 2018. HOW to win (2 options):Deposit $100 or more into one of the two sportsbooks below. Email fw@freddywills.com with your account username for veri...
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Feb 04, 2018
Freddy Wills
Patriots -4 5.5% NFL POD ...
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Feb 04, 2018
Freddy Wills
Tom Brady MVP -120 2.5% ...
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Jan 21, 2018
Freddy Wills
Eagles +3 -1.05 5.5% NFL POD ...
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Jan 21, 2018
Freddy Wills
Jaguars +8.5 3.3% play ...
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Jan 14, 2018
Freddy Wills
PLAY OF THE DAY REPORTS:
NCAAF POD's | NFL POD's College Football ROI Tool Complete ArchivesRetired POD Reports: Note Freddy no longer handicaps MLB, NBA, or college basketball. His sole concentration is on college and pro football, but his historical POD & records are available nonetheless:
MLB POD' | NBA POD's | NCAAB POD's
...
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Jan 14, 2018
Freddy Wills
Vikings -5 3.3% play ...
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Jan 14, 2018
Freddy Wills
Jaguars +7 4.4% NFL POD ...
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Jan 13, 2018
Freddy Wills
Patriots -13 2.2% play ...
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Jan 13, 2018
Freddy Wills
Eagles +3 5.5% NFL POD ...
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Jan 08, 2018
Freddy Wills
Georgia +4 5.5% PODI give a small edge in coaching to Alabama with Nick Saban having an 11-0 record 9-2 ATS vs. former assistants, but note that he was on average a 17 point favorite in those games. No coach ever spent more than 5 years with Saban while Kirby Smart spent the last 8 years up until 2015. Georgia's offensive coordinator Jim Chaney I have over Jeremy Pruitt who takes over ...
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Jan 07, 2018
Freddy Wills
Jaguars -2.5 / Saints -0.5 3.3% play ...
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Jan 06, 2018
Freddy Wills
Rams -6 2.2% play ...
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Jan 06, 2018
Freddy Wills
TITANS +8 5.5% POD ...
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Jan 06, 2018
Freddy Wills
TITANS/CHIEFS OVER 44.5 2.2% PLAY ...
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Jan 05, 2018
Freddy Wills
Alabama Offense ranks #13 VS. Georgia Defense ranking #7 in YPP.
There is value on Georgia's defense simply for the fact they just got done giving up 48 points to Oklahoma. Georgia never see's the RPO spread type of offense and that did not surprise me one bit. Here they face an Alabama offense that is 63% run. They haven't come out throwing more than running in any game this year. I would b...
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Jan 05, 2018
Freddy Wills
...
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Jan 05, 2018
Freddy Wills
php_snippet_ga-offense Georgia's offense ranked #9 in YPP vs. Alabama's defense ranking #1 in YPP defense:
First of all this is the best defense that Georgia has faced all year, but it is also the best most balanced offense that Alabama has faced this year and by far. Auburn comes in at #34 with LSU #42 in S&P. Colorado State from group of 5 conferences ranked #13 and put up 23 points on Al...
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Jan 01, 2018
Freddy Wills
Alabama -3 4.4% play As a Clemson fan I hate making this play. I think they are really disrepsected being an under dog here, but I think a deeper look at the match-up and it's rightfully so. Not only did Clemson get in a tough situation with the location of this bowl game being in New Orleans which is a major advantage to Alabama, but they have to go up against a highly motivated ...
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Jan 01, 2018
Freddy Wills
Oklahoma +125 5.5% POD
The SEC has not played well in bowl games thus far going 1-3 while the Big 12 as I mentioned might just be the best conference this year. They have gone 5-2 in bowl games. The SEC is still getting too much credit for being the SEC, and there is a thought out there that Oklahoma just doesn't play defense which just is not true. Oklahoma went on the road and faced Ohio ...
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Jan 01, 2018
Freddy Wills
Notre Dame +145 1.5% Free Play - 10-5 ATS on Free plays during the 2017 season, and 12-3 ATS in 2016. This is our first free play of the bowl season.
The SEC was not as strong this season, and LSU has worst losses coming against Miss State, Troy, and Alabama. LSU will be without their OC Matt Canada who is out, and that's a big deal in this game. Notre Dame's defense is also a lot healthie...
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