Dec 27, 2017 Freddy Wills
Southern Miss +15.5 2.2% How can Florida State be a 17 point favorite right now with that offense, an interim coach, and a thinning roster playing without their best defensive player Derwin James. Many will point to their last game against LA Monroe to end the season as they won 42-10, but LA Monroe ranked 128th in YPP defense while Southern Miss ranks #31. Let's also talk about Conference USDec 26, 2017 Freddy Wills
Kansas State -6.5 1.1% Free PlayThere is really only one way to go with this game. Kansas State or nothing. I would have been more comfortable taking this at -2.5 before they announced Josh Rosen out, but I still feel like we have tremendous value here.First of all I think the Big 12 is better than the PAC 12 this year. They do play similar football, but there have been signs thaDec 26, 2017 Freddy Wills
Utah -6.5 2.2% playEven though we are playing a premium to back Utah and Kyle Whittingham who is 10-1 in bowl games I am fine doing so. Mainly, because it's just a bad match-up for West Virginia who is playing without their QB Will Grier. There is a big drop off in my opinion with Chris Chugunov. They will also be playing without two offensive line man and RB Justin Crawford whoDec 25, 2017 Freddy Wills
Raiders/Eagles Under 47 3.3% playDec 24, 2017 Freddy Wills
Fresno/Houston U49 3.3% playThere is a lot to like about both of these teams. I feel the spread is a bit more unpredictable because we don't know what we will get from Houston who has not made this trip before. Fresno already made this trip, and to make matters worse for Houston they lost their offensive coordinator to Florida. Their HC Applewhite will be making the calls, whichDec 24, 2017 Freddy Wills
Cowboys/Seahawks Over 46.5 3.3% playDec 24, 2017 Freddy Wills
49ers +4.5 5.5% PODDec 24, 2017 Freddy Wills
Browns +200 2% playDec 24, 2017 Freddy Wills
Titans +6 3.3% playDec 24, 2017 Freddy Wills
Falcons +5.5 2.2% playDec 23, 2017 Freddy Wills
Off to a very bad start this week. Last night we lost the starting QB from FIU on the first series, and UAB looks like hot garbage, but confident a hot streak is on the horizon.San Diego State -6.5 3.3% play As you are all aware I'm a big Army supporter, and had them the last two years on the money line as max plays over Navy. This is just a bad match-up for Army in my opinion.&nbDec 23, 2017 Freddy Wills
Texas Tech +135 3% play There is a big difference in strength of schedules here, and the Big 12 has dominated the AAC this year going 5-0 and winning on average by 27.2 points per game. Texas Tech actually defeated AAC Houston earlier in this year on the road while South Florida lost to them at home. I think there is certainly value here with Texas Tech who played a more difficultDec 22, 2017 Freddy Wills
Central Michigan +3.5 5.5% POD This game is at elevation in Idaho which favors Wyoming who is used to playing in it, but in a match-up like this where the defenses should dominate I don't anticipate elevation playing too big of a factor, but we could have snow. The winds won't be too crazy so I don't anticipate the offenses being impacted too much. When we look at Wyoming they are getting tooDec 22, 2017 Freddy Wills
UAB +220 4% PLAY The Sun Belt the last two years has gone 4-0 against the MAC. Frank Solich in bowl games for Ohio has not done a good job going 2-8 dating back to his days at Nebraska. They have actually lost their last two years in bowl games against the Sun Belt, but are 7 point favorites here? UAB's Bill Clark has done an amazing job for a team that wasn't around the last two years and waDec 21, 2017 Freddy Wills
FIU +7 4.4% PLAY This game takes place in St. Petersburg, FL which is much closer for the FIU athletes. This game will be in a dome, and I think that favor FIU's offense here. I also like the coaching edge with Butch Davis 5-2 in bowl games, with Geoff Collins coaching in his first. I looked in depth at what both teams can do on the line of scrimmage and running the ball. FIU wants to run tDec 20, 2017 Freddy Wills
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl -Central Michigan vs. Wyoming (Wyoming -3, 46) Location: Idaho, weather will be cold and have over 10 mph winds it looks like. Nothing these two teams aren't used to. Elevation would be the big factor here as CMU not used to playing in elevation, but they have been here for a few days and I don't anticipate in a game that is not high pace for it to play a big factDec 20, 2017 Freddy Wills
LA Tech / SMU Over 70 3.3% play I would originally leaned towards the value of SMU here, but with Dykes coaching that is out. I actually like the total a lot more when looking at this. These are two teams known for their offenses, with balanced offensive attacks playing in Texas with good weather. Both defenses also have big weaknesses on defense and even thought he total isDec 20, 2017 Freddy Wills
Bahamas Bowl -UAB vs. Ohio (-7.5, 55.5) Location and Weather As of right now the weather looks clear with little wind so we won't see the offenses impacted in this game. Conferences: Sun Belt vs. the MAC. The Sun Belt is actually 4-0 the last two years in bowl games against the MAC. Troy beat Ohio last year while App State beat Toledo and there have been some pretty good games betweenDec 20, 2017 Freddy Wills
Bad Boy mowers Gasparilla Bowl - Temple vs. FIU +7 Total 56 Location & Weather Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL. This will favor FIU, the last time they were in this bowl game their were 20,000 in the stands. This venue has had a hard time getting a ton of fans in the recent few bowl games even with Miss State last year they could not draw 16,000. Conferences AAC went 4-2Dec 17, 2017 Freddy Wills
Browns +7 5.5% NFL PODDec 17, 2017 Freddy Wills
Giants +7.5 2.2% playDec 17, 2017 Freddy Wills
Texans +10.5 3.3% playDec 16, 2017 Freddy Wills
Chiefs +100 4.5% NFL PODDec 16, 2017 Freddy Wills
Middle Tennessee +3.5 5.5% PODSince 2014, Conference USA is 15-5 against the Sun Belt and 4-2 this year. Their 2 losses came with their 2 worst teams Charlotte & UTEP facing two bowl teams from the Sun Belt. The 4 wins all by a TD or more. Middle Tennessee is a dog, because they only won 6 games, and Arkansas State is that sexy team with the sexy QB in Justice Hansen. HDec 16, 2017 Freddy Wills
Marshall/Colorado State Over 58 3.3% play I originally leaned Marshall out of Conference USA, but Colorado State has faced a far tougher schedule. There was no way I could back Colorado State given their struggles during bowl season and down the stretch of the regular season. The last 3 years in bowl games they went 0-3 SU & ATS missing the spread by 67 points combined. Meanw
