Jan 06, 2019
Freddy Wills
Chargers +3 4.4% NFL POD ...
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Jan 05, 2019
Freddy Wills
Cowboys -125 5.5% NFL POD ...
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Jan 05, 2019
Freddy Wills
Texans -1.5 3.3% play ...
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Jan 01, 2019
Freddy Wills
Georgia -12 2.2% play I think Georgia is excited to be here, and I think they have a point to prove against Big 12 runner up in Texas. Texas seems like they are on their way back and they have had a nice season, and Tom Herman is 12-3 ATS as a dog as a head coach, but I think they are going to really have issues here against Georgia. I don't think they will be able to get off the ...
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Jan 01, 2019
Freddy Wills
Washington +7 3.3% play If you don't have a +7 right now at your book you should get one with nearly 70% of the best on Ohio State, based on their last 2 games alone, and Urban Meyer's last game, but Washington is not going to just hand them this game. This is a Washington team that prides themselves on developing and recruiting NFL caliber corner backs, and I think that gives them the ...
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Jan 01, 2019
Freddy Wills
Kentucky +6 NCAAF POD
Just 36% of bettors are backing Kentucky here, as many feel like they were a fraudulent team. I backed this team many times and faded them in the Tennessee game they lost to end the year following their loss against Georgia. This is an emotional team and a team that is highly motivated to get to 10 wins, which would be a first in 40 years. Kentucky is a senior laden t...
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Jan 01, 2019
Freddy Wills
LSU -7.5 3.3% PLAY The AAC is getting too much credit this bowl season, and they have not showed up, 0-5 ATS. They have losses of 18, 3, 56, and 29 this bowl season. They went 0-2 vs. the SEC in the regular season losing by 27.5 points. LSU played the far tougher schedule, and arguably the toughest in the country. The one thing about LSU that we know is the fact that t...
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Jan 01, 2019
Freddy Wills
Iowa +7.5 3.3% play
Iowa played few defenses that would be considered top 25 at the time and they averaged 13.3 points per game. For sure this is the best defense they have faced in Miss State, but Miss State has to score points as well, and their offense against elite defenses averaged just 7.8 points per game over 5 games. Miss State has a one dimensional attack with NIck Fitzgerald runni...
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Dec 31, 2018
Freddy Wills
Texas A&M -7 -115 3.5% play
These two teams are heading in opposite directions right now. A&M is trending, and they will face an NC State with their best skill player on offense in Harmon WR, and LB in Pratt sitting out along with their OC who will be there, but took the App State job.
A&M's weakness is pass defense, and finishing games, and that's what they focused on in bowl...
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Dec 31, 2018
Freddy Wills
Missouri -9 1.1% Free Play This is the worst Oklahoma State defense in over a decade and they are going up against a balanced offenses which is something they have only experienced once this year, and they gave up 48 points to Oklahoma. If Mike Gundy was not on the other sideline this would be a larger play, but I totally respect what Gundy has done here, and he is 8-4 in bowl games.&nb...
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Dec 31, 2018
Freddy Wills
Michigan State +1.5 5.5% PODIt has been a rough go of it with these max plays, and we got very unlikely in my opinion and should have covered with Alabama -14, and Iowa State +125, Iowa State covered on the spread not the ML. Here we are again, and I am going to back the team with the better defense. There is value on Michigan State in my opinion. The discussion will be how bad th...
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Dec 31, 2018
Freddy Wills
Virginia Tech +7 3.3% play This one just touched 7, and I have to grab it. There are a few things I like about this match-up including the fact that the ACC has actually done poorly against P5 conferences, but have dominated the group of 5 going 18-4 +15.7 ppg, and 12-9-2 ATS, + 2-0 ATS with 2 outright upsets as a dog in the bowl games with Wake Forest & Duke coming up with upsets a...
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Dec 30, 2018
Freddy Wills
Colts/Titans Under 44 2.2% play ...
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Dec 30, 2018
Freddy Wills
Bengals +14 1.1% Free play ...
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Dec 30, 2018
Freddy Wills
Redskins +6.5 2.2% play ...
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Dec 30, 2018
Freddy Wills
Cowboys +260 3% play ...
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Dec 30, 2018
Freddy Wills
Vikings -6 2.2% play ...
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Dec 29, 2018
Freddy Wills
Alabama -14 5.5% NCAAF POD
Alabama with extra preparation under Nick Saban has been a very profitable ATS situation. I think Alabama's defense really plays a great game here and give Oklahoma and Kyler Murray issues all day. I think there is something to be said about Oklahoma getting the Heisman Trophy award to Kyler Murray over Tua, and Oklahoma getting the Joe Moore award for the best off...
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Dec 29, 2018
Freddy Wills
Notre Dame +11.5 3.3% play
These are two similar teams with similar strength of schedules that are not great SOS's. Their opponent YPP differential are both -.225 & -.26. Notre Dame in my opinion had the slightly tougher schedule with their travel situation which featured 2 west coast trips, and having Michigan to start the year.
The ACC, the conference that Clemson plays in was down...
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Dec 29, 2018
Freddy Wills
Arkansas State +1 3.3% play Arkansas State has been very goo din non conference games, and I trust them more in a spot they are familiar with as Nevada has not been to a bowl since 2013. Nevada plays in the better conference, I'll admit, but it's very much front loaded with teams like Utah State, Fresno State, and Boise. After those 3 teams it goes down hill fast in my opinion. Ar...
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Dec 29, 2018
Freddy Wills
Florida +6 3.3% play & ML at +210 for 1% play Florida has all of the motivation here, and it's evident by their NFL prospects playing in this game and not sitting out while Michigan has 4 key guys starting out. Starting Tackle, RB Higdon, and their two best defensive players in Gary & Bush. Michigan also has no motivation to beat Florida as they have beaten them the last t...
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Dec 29, 2018
Freddy Wills
Florida +210 1% bonus play ...
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Dec 29, 2018
Freddy Wills
South Carolina -3.5 1.1% Free Pick
I don't agree with this line move at all. I know there are guys sitting out for South Carolina, but I still think this is a team from a far superior conference. This season the ACC went 4-8 in the regular season vs. other power 5 conferences which includes 3-8-1 ATS and -5.38 points per game. Add in the bowl season and that number balloons to 3-11-1 ATS ...
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Dec 28, 2018
Freddy Wills
Purdue +3.5 2.2% playIt's very obvious that Purdue will be the team with more motivation. Their fanbase and alumn have gobbled up most of the tickets for this game, and with the news of Jeff Brohm remaining at Purdue, instead of going back to Louisville there is a lot to be excited about. This is an emotional team that has come up big in big moments. This is a chance to finish th...
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Dec 28, 2018
Freddy Wills
Iowa State +125 5.5% PODIowa State has played 4 similar offenses this year and have covered each of the 4 against Oklahoma, West Virginia, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma State. Some would say they are built to beat this type of offense, and I would agree. They are well coached by Matt Campbell, and are from the much stronger conference. The PAC 12 went 3-4 -12.4 points per game v...
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