Jan 01, 2023 Freddy Wills
Bucs -3 -125 5.5% NFL PODDec 31, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ohio State / Georgia Over 62 4.4% playDec 31, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ohio State +6 2.2% playDec 31, 2022 Freddy Wills
TCU +8 2.2% PLAY Both offenses will have success today, but they both play at a slower pace and I do believe this total is pretty high, and spot on for this game. Michigan’s defense ranked #2 in ypp has gotten there playing a very weak average opponent offense of 87th. The last two years they have only faced 6 top 50 offenses and their defense allowed 27.5ppg in thoseDec 31, 2022 Freddy Wills
Alabama -7 3.3% play We need to address the monkey in the room that is transfer portal and opt outs. Alabama some how has gottent heir big name players to play in this game, which is amazin for college football. I share NIck Saban's opinion on the NIL, transfer portal, and opt outs. Finish the season with you team. I'm not sure what this is teaching our youth these days, but that's aDec 31, 2022 Freddy Wills
Kentucky +3 -115 buy 1/2 1.15% free play You can get Kentucky +3 at -115 on a cheap buy. I think it's worth a small play here as 70% of the money is on Iowa, which I really don't fully understand. Iowa down to their third string QB in an already struggling offense going up against a top 50 defense from the SEC. We don't have to pretend the SEC is the superior conference goDec 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Wyoming +3 -120 3% play Ohio, a completely different team without their QB. CJ Harris took over and it's very clear and evident he can not move the ball consistently through the air making the team one dimensional. Craig Bohl and the Wyoming defense which ranks 43rd in epa pass defense will be able to stack the box and slow this Ohio offense down. On the flip side we are gDec 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Notre Dame -160 4% play Mayer out for Notre Dame, but they get their QB they started the season with back for this game, which helps their running game as he is a running QB. South Carolina down 3 key defensive starters and others here. This was a run defense ranked 113th in ypc, and 117th in epa. Notre Dame obviously over the years needs to run the ball and I think they will doDec 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Maryland / NC State Under 46 2.2% play Both teams come into this game with top 50 defenses. NC State vs. a top 50 defense averaged only 17.75 points per game, and 2 games came when Devin Leary was their QB. Maryland vs. a top 50 defense averages just 16.75 points per game. Maryland will be playing without 3 of their top 4 WR in this game as well so points are going to be at a prDec 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Washington / Texas Over 66.5 3.3% play I love the over here as both of these defensive weaknesses are the pass defenses. I think the total is lower mainly because Texas without their top 2 RB in this game, which is their offensive strength and Quinn Ewers has looked lost out there at multiple points this season, but the extra practices, and going up against a bad pass defense should heDec 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Florida State -10 1.1% Free Play A lot of excitement for this FSU team playing in their home state with a chance to get to 10 wins. Oklahoma defense when facing a top 50 offense this season has given up 41, 55, 49, and 42 points. While I would like to bet the over here I just can't with Oklahoma missing 3 starting OL and going up against #6 pass rush team. I think FloridaDec 28, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ole Miss -3.5 3.3% play All I’ve heard is that Texas Tech is the more motivated team, and Ole Miss isn’t motivated, but this Ole Miss team did not have any opt outs, and will be full go for this game. Ole Miss is the more talented team they were +1 ypp compared to Tech -0.8 ypp. Ole Miss is a pretty easy team to handicap to win they have to run and stop the run. In tDec 28, 2022 Freddy Wills
Arkansas / Kansas Over 68.5 2.2% play Arkansas down a bevy of defensive starters, and will bring in a largely inexperienced group without their DC Barry Odom. This is not a great sign for a defense that really struggled going up against a top offensive mind in Lance Leipold. Kansas offense was top offense in passing and running behind QB Jalon Daniels. Their numbers would be eveDec 28, 2022 Freddy Wills
UCF +3.5 2.2% PLAY I have my concerns about Plumlee being 100% healthy for this one according to many out there he may not be, but I think there has been plenty of time for him to heal up before this game. I think we are getting value here when we look at these two teams they have 2 common opponents. UCF was a -23.5 favorite vs. Temple, and a -21 favorite vs. Georgia Tech, while Duke was aDec 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Oklahoma State +4.5 1.1% Free Play There are a whole lot of moving parts for this game with opt outs transfers portals and coaching changes. It’s clear this game is like a pre-season game, and with that said we are just naturally going to fade the line movement. Both starting QB’s are out, and then you got Jim Leonard who wanted to be the HC here, but got passed over for CDec 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
East Carolina -7 2.2% play Honestly how motivated is Coastal Carolina in this game with their head coach gone, their star QB Grayson McCall leaving via transfer portal. McCall will play here, but he won’t have his starting Center, and I don’t know, but if someone on my team was leaving and only coming to play this game to increase his stock against a poor defense I don’t kDec 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Memphis -7 -115 2.5% play Memphis has lost close games to the good teams on the schedule and beat up on some of the bad teams. Utah State was -0.8 ypp differential this season, while Mmephis was +0.1. Memphis went 4-1 vs. teams with a -0.2 YPP or more winning those games by 16, 21, 12, and 24 while losing on the road to Miss State. They also went 4-1 vs. non top 80 offenses, andDec 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Colts +3.5 2.2% playDec 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
New Mexico State +3.5 3.3% play Both of these teams are lucky to be in a bowl, but it’s more surprising that New Mexico State is here, and you have to give Jerry Kill credit. Kill is also 16-10-1 ATS vs. the MAC over his career. New Mexico State ranks 100th in ypp vs. an average opp defense ranking 65.1, while Bowling Green is 108th vs. 65.5. Pretty even, despite New MexiDec 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Broncos -160 3.5% playDec 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Dolphins -3 -120 2.5%Dec 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Steelers -130 3% playDec 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Cowboys / Eagles Over 47 5.5% NFL PODDec 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Giants/ Vikings Over 47.5 3.3% playDec 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Saints +8.5 / Panthers +8.5 3.3% Teaser play
