Freddy Wills | College Football Betting Expert

Texas AM +5.5 3.3% play I'm not completely sold on Texas this season, and this seems like a good time to fade them on the road. Texas gets into the playoff with a loss here likely, while the Aggies will go to SEC Championship with a win. Texas vs. top defenses have gone 3-1, but their big wins at Michigan and against Oklahoma make sense considering both those teams have zero offense,...

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4.4% NCAAF POD - Iowa State vs. Kansas STate Guaranteed or $ BACK

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

Kansas State +1.5 4.4% play Iowa State has not faced a single ranked team on the year, while Kansas State has faced 4. Kansas State has not covered the last 4 match ups in the series, but this one is due. I have seen Iowa State teams under coach Campbell get very tight in big games, and a win and they get into the Big 12 Championship. From a yards per play perspective on offense...

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1.1% Free Play - LSU vs. Oklahoma

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

LSU -6 1.1% Free play Seems like a great match up for LSU as their 9th ranked sack rate defense at home facing Oklahoma who is 132nd protecting their QB. LSU faces a very poor offense that has had issues turning the ball over. They rank 101st in % of possessions ending in a turnover while LSU is 15th on defense. The other problem for Oklahoma is they are facing an offen...

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2.2% PLAY - Washington vs. Oregon - Guaranteed or $ back

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

Washington +18 2.2% play Oregon is in the CFB playoff regardless, and has the Big Ten Championships on deck. They have struggled the last two games putting away inferior opponents in Wisconsin and Maryland not covering the spread. Dan Lanning is 0-3 vs. Washington so maybe he has some extra motivation, but I think Washington can come up with a game plan with their top pass def...

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2% play - Cal vs. SMU - Guaranteed or $ BACK

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

Cal +13.5 2.2% play This is the role Cal loves to be in under Wilcox. A dog, or double digit dog, and I expect they will be right in this game as SMU is already locked into the ACC Championship game next week, and we have seen teams in that role struggle a bit. Cal has faced the tougher schedule and brings in a top defense, as well as a team that does not turn the ball over. SMU...

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3% Total of the Week

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

UAB / Charlotte Over 60.5 3.3% play ...

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3% Play USC vs. Notre Dame -

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

USC +7.5 3.3% PLAY This is USC's Super Bowl against rival Notre Dame with a chance to possibly knock Notre Dame out of the playoff since they really haven't played anyone. USC's offense is probably the best offense the Irish have faced outside of Louisville who played them extremely well on Notre Dame's field. The Irish won that game by only 7 at home. For USC they have ha...

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2% Total - Guaranteed or $ BACK

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

South Florida / Rice O54 2.2% play ...

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2% Play - Tennessee vs Vanderbilt - Guaranteed or $ back

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

Vanderbilt +10.5 2.2% play It’s hard for Tennessee to cover double digits on the road when they only average 23 points in conference play. Vanderbilt has some decent advantages here as they are 15th in ypc defense, 18th in defensive sack rate, while Tennessee -1.2 ypc on the road, and 105th in protecting their young freshman QB. As good as TEnnessee’s defense is th...

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Saturday's 3 % Play - Army vs. UTSA

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

UTSA +7 3.3% PLAY Tough spot for Army with their first conference championship game up next with Tulane, and their game against Navy to follow. This game literally means nothing to them although I expect a high effort, because it's Army, UTSA has an excellent defense that should keep them in the game as they rank #1 in success rate run defense with garbage time excluded. This is...

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Saturday's 3.5% ML Favorite of the day!

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

Michigan State -125 3.5% play Michigan State has faced the far tougher schedule in Big Ten play having to face Oregon, Ohio State & Indiana, while Rutgers was able to avoid all three. Rutgers already in a bowl game, and Michigan State needs to win this game to get to a bowl game, which is critical under first year head coach Jonathan Smith. Turnovers have been an issue for M...

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**Clemson vs. South Carolina - Guaranteed or $ back

Nov 30, 2024 Freddy Wills

South Carolina +3 -114 2.5% play This is the best defense Clemson has faced all year, and they have only faced 4 top 60 defenses and have struggled in each of those games going 2-2 never eclipsing 24 points. Clemson also really has not faced a mobile QB, and their defense is down this year particularly in run defense where they rank 64th in ypc, and that's against an average opponent ...

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1% Free College Football Play - Utah vs. UCF

Nov 29, 2024 Freddy Wills

UTAH +10 1.1% Free play I know the Utes are on their 4th string QB and have lost 7 straight games after their 4-0 start, but 5 of their 7 losses have been by 8 points or less thanks to their elite defense. They are 1-7 in Big 12 play, but only -28 yards per game, and -5ppg. It’s hard to say if the 4th string QB is any worse than the other two options and maybe he’s...

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3.5% ML Favorite of the day - Guaranteed or $ BACK

Nov 29, 2024 Freddy Wills

IOWA -142 3.5% PLAY This has already dropped a couple of points in favor of Iowa due to the weather and the QB change, but the QB play has been nothing great for Iowa this season anyway. It’s all about the rushing attack that is 13th in ypc led by Kaleb Johnson. The strength of the Nebraska defense is their run defense, but they have only faced three teams inside the top 50 in r...

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2% Mountain West Play Utah State vs. Colorado State

Nov 29, 2024 Freddy Wills

Utah State +5 2.2% play Is the pressure too much for Colorado State? Are they running into a team that is just playing on fire right? Utah State’s offense is really clicking right now, and they go on the road to play a Colorado State team that needs a win, and an unlikely loss on Saturday from UNLV who is a 17.5 point favorite. Colorado State is just 1-4 vs. top offe...

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3% NCAAF play Friday - Minnesota vs. Wisconsin

Nov 29, 2024 Freddy Wills

Wisconsin -125 3% play ...

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