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Oregon State +3 4.4* NCAAF POD
I have been all over this Utah team for years and I know them and their coaching staff very well. So far this season I have predicted in my analysis Utah +405 ML at UCLA 2 weeks ago and I also predicted Washington State +425 at Utah for the win. Utah is now ranked inside the top 25 and I won't play them as a road favorite. As good as they are on defense they are a flawed team. How many #1 pass rush teams who are #1 in sack % and #1 in sacks are giving up 43% conversions on third down? Utah's front 7 is built on stopping the run and forcing teams into third and long and they've done a good job this year. They have only faced one team ranked inside the top 87 in pass protection and that was Washington State who beat them in their own building.
Oregon State is just a bit more balanced than Washington State, but they have a veteran QB built on pass first mentality with very capable running backs averaging over 5 yards per carry. Utah's defense is going to be tired by the end of this game and I wouldn't be surprised to see Oregon State take this game outright. Their offensive line is still missing their best player, but this team has been tested facing 3 teams inside the top 60 in pass rush. USC was ranked 94th but we all know they are better than that. Oregon State lost by 25 at USC, but that was on the road and without their top WR target who will be back today for QB Sean Mannion. Oregon State's defense has just as many strengths as Utah and Utah's offense is 95th in yards per play on offense. They are not announcing their starting QB, but Oregon State has a defense that can plan for both led by 3 senior linebackers in the middle.
Where to find Freddy?