NC State -3 3.3% play
I wanted to get out in front of this as it's going to go to -3.5 I believe. I faded Miami their last two games and I'm fading them again here. I just don't think Manny Diaz is a good coach, and now at 2-4. They're missing their QB King for the rest of the season, and their top two RB's and now go against arguably the best defense they have faced all year, and a team that is playing for an ACC Championship. NC State has all the motivation and momentum and a huge coaching advantage here.
NC State also has a little revenge here after losing at home 44-41, but Cam'ron Harris gone, and D'eriq King is gone. King went nuts last year with 105 yards rushing and 31-41 430 passing yards 5 TD and 0INT. While Tyler Van Dyke has been decent so far he has gone against Virginia's defense ranked 105th in YPP, and North Carolina ranked 103rd in EPA pass defense. NC State is a balanced defense this year ranking 21st in yp, 50th in epa pass defense, and 24th in epa run defense. NC State is also top 50 in TO % per posession on both sides of the ball, while Miami ranks 118th and 111th.
