Tulane -1 2.2% play.
Tulane is missing some defensive players along their defensive line, and some coordinators, but that is reflected in the number, and generally speaking those things are overrated. I think Willie Fritz is the better coach here, and I love that I have the team with the better special teams, and TO margin by a wide margin.
These two teams play conflicting styles, and the weather doens't look ideal for a passing team like Nevada. Nevada spins it 63% of their playcalls, and they do it well, going up against Tulane's 93rd ranked QB defense looks enticing, but Tulane ranks 33rd in passing success defense, they rank 15th in sack %. Their biggest problem is the explosive passing plays, and given the teams on their schedule it does not surprise me when you have to face SMU, UCF, and Memphis, and even Houston. Nevada just does not compare to those teams in my opinion.
Tulane likes to run the ball over 60% of the time, but they do have some balance from their QB who has 18 passing TD's and just 5 picks. They will be far better here in 18mph winds, and Nevada although their run defensive #'s are good, they have faced just 2 teams in the top 50 in ypc, and 3 team sin teh top 50 in EPA rushing offense and they went 1-2 in those games. American Athletic Conference also the better more challenging conference, and when you look at it Nevada really did not have a tough schedule.
