Wash State postponed, we filled in Wyomning +14.5 in its place and the play was re-released.

Wash State +8 / Iowa +8.5 3.3% Teaser

Cal off a huge upset last week, but they had a post game win expectancy of 6% and dropped in many ratings.  Cal is just not a team that is going to win with margin, so getting Washington State here with value as a home dog, in cold weather is a bonus as I think they should arguably be favored in the game.

Just 34% of the money on Iowa here with the weather calling for wind and rain, the total has dropped to 41 giving us much more value in the #, so teasing it is an excellent opportunity for Saturday.  I also like the fact that Wisconsin may have given up after their last two game putting up 13 points against similar defenses to Iowa.  Iowa can rush the QB, so can Indiana and Northwestern, and Wisconsin has not been able to protect the QB ranking 96th in sack % allowed, which has led to their 99th ranked TO margin.  Iowa ranks 1st in TO Margin, they also rank 2nd in net field position compared to Wisconsin’s 43rd ranking, which could be a huge edge in a game like this.  Iowa also has the better rushing offense against tougher opponents so I like their ability to run the ball here, and this game should go down to the wire.  I like them to win the game, but could see them losing by 3 so the teaser just makes a lot of sense with the low total.

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