Ohio State -20.5 2.2% play 

Indiana ranks 9th in the nation and they are nearly a 3 TD dog on the road, and they are getting well over 60% of the early money.  I’m not buying it here as I feel Ohio State has to prove something if they are going to get into the college football playoff.  We have seem teams win, and continue to put up points late in games, because they need style points.  This is that situation here for the Buckeyes who need a statement game, because there are no more statements left on their schedule.

I think there are enough question marks with Indiana’s offense ranking 96th in YPP offense, 115th in ypc, and 91st in success rate.  They are a one dimensional offense, and after watching Indiana the last two weeks I think they have largely relied on winning the TO Margin, and Ohio State is just not a team that turns it over.  Michael Penix has been great in the passing game, but he’s gone up against an average EPA pass defense ranking 91.25.  Ohio State has not been great on defense and they are young, but I don’t think a game has required their full focus until now.  I think we get Ohio State’s A game, and they win this game going away and Penix won’t get away with some of the throws he’s made over the last two weeks in this game at Ohio State.




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