Oklahoma -7 3.3%

62% of the action here on Oklahoma State as the away dog, public dog, and I’m going to fade that for several reasons.  Oklahoma State has faced one team in the top 60 in success rate offense, and Oklahoma is quietly doing it on offense and defense ranking top 25 in both.  Oklahoma State is banged up here, and I think both Chubba Hubbard and Tylan Wallace go, but they won’t be 100% for an offense that has struggled at times.

Oklahoma’s offense has gotten better as the season has gone by, and getting Rhamadre Stevenson back two games ago is a huge deal.  It makes this offense much tougher to prepare for, and much more balanced.  Oklahoma State’s defense has been great, but Oklahoma has scored in the 30’s in every game, and I don’t think they’ll be able to keep up.  Oklahoma with extra time to prepare and HC Lincoln Riley is great at scripting plays and jumping out to leads.  In the past it’s been an issue, because the defense was a huge vulnerability, but right now they are getting excellent play and they go up against a poor offense that ranks85th in YPP, 70th in success rate, and 110th in protecting the QB, which makes for a great edge for Oklahoma who ranks 15th at getting to the QB.  This has created issues with turnovers for Oklahoma State as they rank 90th in TO margin.  Oklahoma is also good at stopping the run ranking 14th in EPA run defense, and 26th in ypc defense, while Oklahoma State surprisingly with Chubba Hubbard ranks 113th in rushing success rate, 84th in EPA rushing offense. 

Oklahoma has dominated this game going 15-2 since 2003 winning on average by double digits.  Oklahoma still has an excellent shot at getting back to the Big 12 Championship game and it starts with a win here.

Oklahoma -7 3.3%

62% of the action here on Oklahoma State as the away dog, public dog, and I’m going to fade that for several reasons.  Oklahoma State has faced one team in the top 60 in success rate offense, and Oklahoma is quietly doing it on offense and defense ranking top 25 in both.  Oklahoma State is banged up here, and I think both Chubba Hubbard and Tylan Wallace go, but they won’t be 100% for an offense that has struggled at times.

Oklahoma’s offense has gotten better as the season has gone by, and getting Rhamadre Stevenson back two games ago is a huge deal.  It makes this offense much tougher to prepare for, and much more balanced.  Oklahoma State’s defense has been great, but Oklahoma has scored in the 30’s in every game, and I don’t think they’ll be able to keep up.  Oklahoma with extra time to prepare and HC Lincoln Riley is great at scripting plays and jumping out to leads.  In the past it’s been an issue, because the defense was a huge vulnerability, but right now they are getting excellent play and they go up against a poor offense that ranks85th in YPP, 70th in success rate, and 110th in protecting the QB, which makes for a great edge for Oklahoma who ranks 15th at getting to the QB.  This has created issues with turnovers for Oklahoma State as they rank 90th in TO margin.  Oklahoma is also good at stopping the run ranking 14th in EPA run defense, and 26th in ypc defense, while Oklahoma State surprisingly with Chubba Hubbard ranks 113th in rushing success rate, 84th in EPA rushing offense. 

Oklahoma has dominated this game going 15-2 since 2003 winning on average by double digits.  Oklahoma still has an excellent shot at getting back to the Big 12 Championship game and it starts with a win here.

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