Georgia Tech +13 3.3% play

28% of the money on Georgia Tech, and I don't think we will see a +14 with the line flirting with going back down, so I'm going to hop on the +13 while I can.  This is a fade on Florida State, who I don't think should be a double digit favorite in this game.  FSU, had limited number of practices, and some issues internally over the summer.  Mike Norvell was able to rally the troops, but it's a huge challenge for a first year coach with limited time to put in a new system.  I just don't trust FSU to score enough points to cover against a pesky Georgia Tech team.  James Blackmon the QB here for FSU, but it is his 4th year and 4th OC, I just haven't seen anything from him that I like enough to lay points.

Georgia Tech still in transition, but they return 20 of their top 21 tacklers, and Geoff Collins in his second year here, a defensive minded coach ahd them ranked 130th in plays per game, which means these points are more valuable, because he's going to try to slow this game down.  I believe this line is inflated for Mike Norvell hype, which is legit, but not this year.  First year head coaches in the P5 don't do well in their first season typically, while second year guys are 125-102 ATS as dogs, 55%, which Geoff Collins falls under here.  Also the line moved 2+ points from opening at 11, and over the last 3 years if you fade the steam in week 1 you go 69-50 ATS.


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