I like the under here and I think there is value considering both teams scored a bunch of points last week. Let's start with Cal who scored 33 points, very misleading as 14 came off of pick sixes to start the game. Cal, has the 116th ranked offense from a yards per carry perspective. They lean on their defense and love to shorten games, and the weather is looking like it will support that with light rain, and 15mph winds with gusts over 20. Stanford just put up 49, and 48 points in back to back games so I think the total is also inflated for that reason, but let's look at the defenses they have played. UCLA - ranks 85th vs. the run, 81st vs. the pass, and 118th in defensive success rate. Oregon State ranks 129th vs. the run, 123rd vs. the pass, and 113th in explosive plays allowed. Cal, is a dominant defense ranking 31st vs. the run (weakness), 10th vs. the pass, and 8th in explosive defense. Stanford's offense actually does rely on explosive plays quite a bit to get those high totals so when they face a team that can defend it the game usually goes under.

Stanford in their last 3 road games 23 points at Washington, 20 points at Arizona State, and 17 at Notre Dame. I put Cal right in the category of defense with all 3 of those teams, and could even argue that they might be better than all 3. Cal's defense before the Colorado game where they got up big and relaxed a bit on defense, still only allowed 21 points, allowed 7, 10, 19, and 14 points in their last 4 games.