Fresno State +44 1.1% Free Play
I look for Fresno State to be one of the most improved teams in the country this year after a 1-11 season. They were not as bad as their record showed as they had a lead in 6 games by 14 or a 4th quarter lead. This year they bring in a new head coach in Jeff Tedford and they have 10 returning starters on offense 6 on defense. Their strength on defense is their defensive line with 7 of their top 8 guys returning. Not to say Alabama will have any problem moving the ball in this one.
Alabamaâs offense did not look great last week and their defense and special teams really bailed them out. I expect a huge hang over here and I expect Alabama to be going through the motions. Nick Saban is 3-7 ATS in week #2, and thatâs typically because Alabama has to prepare and get up for a national game on a neutral site and when they play the following week itâs all about recovering. I think itâs also worth noting that they will want to really run this game out. They already lost 2 starting linebackers for the season and they just witnessed Florida Stateâs QB being lost for the season to end the game. I donât see them messing around in this game.
Worth noting is the fact that Fresno had the #33 special teams unit last year and returns everyone. Alabama still has the edge, but Fresno should be able to get a field goal or two to help them cover this spread.
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