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I like the Dbacks here as they really have killed lefties as of late and continue to win especially at home and when Ian Kennedy starts. Kennedy and the Dbacks now 7-3 in his last 10 home starts and he is riding a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 starts. This will be his fourth start against a struggling Giants offense. Int he firstthree he has a 3.05 ERA. As mentioned the Dbacks face a lefty in Madison Bumgarner. Madison started off great but in his last three starts he's come down to earth wtih a 5.74 ERA in his last 3. He makes another day start where h has struggled this year with a 5.22 ERA and a 2-3 record. This will be the second time the Dbacks face him and I think that spells trouble as they now have a gameplan. Arizona in its last 10 games vs. LHP are hitting .300 and averaging 8.75 runs per 9. I think they hit Madison hard and continue their trend against lefties which has them at 4-1 in their last 5 games at home vs. LH starter.
I really like Niemann in his 3 rd start off the DL to finally put it together against a Red Sox team h's pitched well against. He'll go up against Lester who is just 1-4 in his last 5 home starts vs. the Rays giving up 24 ER in 29 IP. He's gotten rocked at home this year of late and in his career against the Rays. He surved up 9 ER to Toronto in his last hom start. Niemann in his two starts this year is 2-0 vs. the Sox giving up just 9 hits in 13 IP and 2 ER. TB on the road is scoring 5.34 runs per 9 vs. LHP and I think their is a lot of value on this play. Many forget just how dominant Niemann was earlier in the season.. I think they'll remember tomorrow.
Where to find Freddy?