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Despite the rumors of snow I’m going to accept the weather report and say the field conditions will be fine.  If anything Big Ben has the advantage his ability to get away from the rush and turn 3rd downs into firsts are like no one else.  I think this is a complete mis match as the Steelers are first in the league in 3rd down conversions at 52.3% and they are determined to start putting their yards into touchdowns.  Carolina is just bad ya they won last week, but Stewart who has 270 yards rushing last two weeks won’t get loose against the Steelers who are the #1 rush defense giving up just 63.4 yards.  Steelers can key in on Clausen who just 5.37 yards per attempt this year is lowest in the league.  How will the Panthers move the ball?
 

I love Navy here the three teams that San Diego State faced with a pulse in a running game ran for a combined 809 yards including 312 to Air Force in a home game.  Navy has a different sytled triple option than Air Force and should have a new threat for San Diego to cover as they rely more on their QB who has been the main reason why Navy was so hot down the stretch winning 7 of 8 games.  Dobbs was an early pre season dark horse Heisman Candidate.  He was not 100% early on and now he’s back to being 100%.
San Diego has a really good offense just ask TCU #1 defense in the nation who they put up 35 points on.  But I’m not scared here the field conditions with 10 inches of rain are going to slow this game down a lot which is good news for Navy.  Navy also has heard this before and they played  6 prolific passing teams this year ranked 22, 29, 23, 7, 17 and 32nd in passing offense in that nation.  They went 5-1 against those teams and their lone loss was by 3 points.  Meanwhile San Diego State was just 1-4 against teams that are in bowl games.
Many feel San Diego has a great advantage playing at Qualcomm since that’s where they play during the season but I don’t really agree because there is a large population of Navy vets and even Army vets in that area that will likely be at this game cheering for Navy.  SDS head coach Hoke is known for his 12-0 MAC team in 2008 that lost vs. Buff in the MAC Championship game when they were huge favorites.  I’m not real confident in his ability to prepare for the BIG games and seeing as this is San Diego States first bowl game in over a decade it will be difficult for him to motivate his players with more than 3 weeks from their last game.  Meanwhile Navy played in December and shouldn’t be as rusty which I feel is more of an advantage in this spot.  Navy also played a good passing team a year ago in Missouri in their bowl game and they beat up on the Tigers 35-13.  That’s a similar Missouri team that San Diego lost to by a field goal earlier this year.
What you should watch is the talented receivers and what they can do in the bad field conditions DeMarco Sampson and Vincent Brown are both All-Mountain West players we will see if they can take over the game despite the weather.  Oh and finally Navy isn’t all run despite their ranking Dobbs can pass and will put in the play action calls when needed and will drop the ball in over the line backers making it more difficult to have an answer in what will be a game where Navy will surely dominate time of possession.
 

Where to find Freddy?