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Dayton +3 4.4* POD & Dayton +150 1* play
Both Dayton and Duquesne are tied in the Atlantic for 8th place which is key considering the top 8 get a home court game in the conference tournament. It’s clear Dayton is capable of going on a run and winning the Atlantic 10. They have wins over Xavier, St. Louis, Temple and La Salle where Duquesne has lost to all of those teams. Dayton comes off a road loss at Xavier in OT where they have not won since 1981 27 straight games but a 3 point loss shows this team is motivated and focused down the stretch. Against Duquesne they’ll have serious revenge after losing at home.

To me this comes down to 3point offense and defense because Dayton is better in just about every other category. In that game Dayton allowed 52% from 3 on 12-23 shooting while they shot just 5 for 18. On the season both teams shoot 34% and Dayton has the better 3 point defense by 1.7%. I’ll be shocked if Duquesne comes close to replicating that performance. Dayton has a ton more length than Duquesne does inside and out they don’t have a single player under 6 feet. There is a reason why they are ranked 68th in rebound % in the nation to Duquesne 332nd. This team is also not short on shooting as they are ranked 7th in FT% at 76.8% a huge advantage over Duquesne ranked 271st at 66%.

The only 2 guys that Duquesne have over 6-7 average 15 min combined while Dayton has 3 guys even without Benson that are 6-9 playing significant minutes. I think Kavanaugh will have the biggest advantage tonight as Dayton wins this game.


Tulane and SMU fighting to stay out of the conference basement. SMU lost at Tulane so a nice revenge spot here for them. IN that game they were -21 free throw attempts and lost because of it. That was uncharacteristic of them considering they are ranked 46th in FTA allowed only allowing 16.8 but they allowed 32. SMU showed it could score in that game shooting 57% as Tulane just does not have a very good defense and it’s probably the reason they are 0-6 in conference play on the road. Also -7.5 FTA on the road than home and -3.2 turnovers forced on the road compared to home. Those were two key ingredients why they won the game 80-74 that will not happen tonight.

SMU struggled lately to score points, but they used their bench more in the 2nd half against Marshall and it provided a spark in an up-tempo approach leading to 54 points. I expect the same thing tonight as they try to get out of the basement. Tulane’s lone wins on the road came to Texas American and Navy.

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