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Mark Buehrle and Clay Bucholz face off against each other once again and I"m backing Bucholz as he continues to pitch like an ace of late. Buehlre also pitched well last time out but he didn't have to face David Ortiz who will be DH'n tonight and is 20-58 off Buehrle in his career. Overall the Red Sox have hit Buehrle and lefties well this season while the Marlins have been pathetic vs. RHP. Bucholz also has been stellar during his night starts posting a 4.10 ERA this year is not as impressive but over his previous 40 night starts he posted a 2.66 ERA.

The Marlins just are not hitting they are 28th in OPS during night games, and are 26th vs. RHP. They have 32 AB and a .188 average with a .653 OPS vs. Bucholz. Boston has much more experience with 302 AB vs. Buehrle and Buehrle's last 3 starts in Boston have resulted in an 8.20 ERA. He doesn't strike guys out so he relies on his control and ground balls, but the Red Sox should be able to get to him at Fenway in my opinion. If they don't the Marlins will have to hit and they are hitting .179 with 21 runs over their last 12 games. Boston vs. LHP compared to Marlins vs. RHP is not even close they are +2.03 runs per 9 on the season, +3.35 at home vs. away, and +3.44 over the last 10 games. All the while Boston has a bullpen that's nearly a run better and they post a bullpen ERA that's over 5 runs better over the last 10 games combined 1.07 to 6.18.

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