Last night we got through with a win on our POD without knowing the Red Sox were going to create a major distraction and flip their club upside down. We were very lucky and are very grateful to have come out with a win. Today's plays are a bit different and I hope you like my in depth analysis backed by a 1 day GUARANTEE. As always all of our picks are monitored by a third party


This game will come down to the bullpens with Brandon Morrow coming off the DL for his first start in over a month he's going to be limited to 85 pitches. The Orioles have 18 HR in 10 games against the Jays this year and there is bound to be more today as they have rocked Morrow at time with 8 HR in just 127 career AB. Hardy,Jones, and Markakis are a combined 16-47 and Chris Davis who is just 2-9 with a HR also has 3 BB's for .417 OBP and he's been red hot with a .350 average and 5 HR over the last 7 days. The Jays meanwhile have been in a hitting slump and even though they got Jose Bautista back last night I think it could be a while. Baltimore's pen should pick up for spot starter Steve Johnson who is too much of an unknown for Toronto to really get a grasp on him the way they've been struggling. It's not like they are hitting what they are seeing and now they have to face a pitcher they've never faced before on the road where they struggle anyway. To put things in perspective the Blue Jays are dead last with a .603 OPS this month. They are 20th on the season in OPS on the road.


To me there is tremendous value in this pick despite the Indians failure to score runs. It's not like the Yankees are putting up big numbers either as they have been regularly carried by Nick Swisher and Derek Jeter, but how long can that continue? Just in Masterson has an ERA under 3 against the Yankees in 5 career starts and collectively the group has a .595 OPS against him. He also has a 3.27 ERA at home and is on 5 days rest where he carries a 1.89 ERA over 3 home starts on 5 days rest this year. Hiroki Kuroda has been consistent this month, but in every month he's had at least one non quality start. I think this is his start to falter a bit. For on Cleveland actually hits RHP much better and Kuroda has an ERA of 4.23 on the road over 2 runs more compared to at home. He also is coming off a season high 112 pitches in his last start.

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