We got another pair of excellent match ups and I'm looking to exploit the numbers given to us in both games. In our first game we give you the MAC favorite vs. the Big East favorite followed by a late game between two 3-3 PAC 12 teams. Both plays come with a full in depth analysis which will leave you with no doubt!


Toledo will face a ranked team at the glass bowl and they are 4-1 straight up in their last 5 home games vs a ranked team when they welcome Cincinnati on Saturday night. Toledo's offense is the best offense that Cinci will have faced all year because they can beat them through the air and the ground. They are averagaing 39.7 ppg and their only loss came in OT against Arizona. Toledo has a triple threat in QB Terrance Owens just shy of 300 yards, WR Bernard Reedy 52 rec 666yards, and 5 TD's and RB David Fleullen 792 yards 9 TD's. Cinci has already shown weaknesses on defense. I mean Fordham started the game last week with 22 straight offensive plays and their QB Ryan Higgins finished the game 31-42 262 yards and a TD. That's an FCS foe and now they face one of the best offenses in the country. Even their HC Butch Jones is worried about Toledo saying, "Their collection of skill players may be the best we'll face."

One of the keys to the Bearcats defense is creating pressure and when they do that they are successful, but they go up against an experienced Toledo offensive line that only allows 3.9% sack % and that's for a running QB where you usually see higher number. Toledo's defense has really buckled down in home games allowing just 30% conversions on third down while Cinci has been good too ranked 33rd allowing 35% conversions. They'll be tested by Toledo who is ranked 25th at converting third downs. I think Toledo has the edge because they have more of an ability at home at stopping the run only allowing 3.4 ypc while Cinci has allowed 4.7 on the road.

Cinci is also obviously looking ahead to Lousiville who they have on deck and this is that classic trap game for them. They are well aware of it, but the fact of the matter is they have not faced any real good teams and already struggled against a MAC team this year and at times against FCS foes. I think Toledo takes this game.


There are two reasons why Washington's offense has struggled in a year that they were supposed to improve. They have had injuries on the offensive line and they have faced 4 top 25 defenses. Well that won't continue when they face Arizona one of the worst defenses in the nation. Mike Stoops left the this defense thin, young, and small and new head coach has them out there for 82 plays per game. It's not a good competition against Washington's offense that won't be pressured as Arizona is 119th in sack % this year.

Expect the old Keith Price back in this game now that he'll have time and expect an absolute monster game from his TE Jenkins who should man handle Arizona's back 8 who have one guy over 215 lbs. I think you should also see another big game out of WR Kasen Williams and RB Bishop Sankey.

Now Arizona can sling it with best of any and are ranked 1st in passing offense in the PAC 12, but that is Washington's strength. They held Matt Barkley to 10-20 167 yards. They return all but one of their key players from a secondary last year that was expected to be the strength of the team and has been as they only allow 172 yards per game. Their new DC Justin Wilcox has been outstanding as a former DB. He's got tow next level players in Safety Justin Glenn who is a sure tackler which will help while defending the spread and CB Desmond Trufant completely took USC's Marqise Lee out of the game as he finished with 2 receptions and 32 yards. Price also came around in that game completing 16 straight passes at one point. This is Washington's game to take.

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