Buffalo has won 6 games in a row and those 6 teams have a combined win total of 5 not counting the FCS team they beat. Those 5 wins were either against each other or other FCS teams so it's safe to say that Buffalo has literally beaten nobody. Ohio's resume is nothing to get excited about either, but at least they beat North Texas and Marshall.
Ohio has a balanced offense with an experienced QB in Tyler Tettleton who has a 165 QB rating and he will be the difference because this is the first time in conference play that Buffalo's defense will face a balanced attack. Ohio had a melt down against Central Michigan and still almost hung on. Buffalo relies on their pass rush to force turnovers but Ohio's ranked 8th in fewest sack % at 2.56%. That means that Tettleton should have the time he needs to make decisions to win this game and movet he chains as Ohio is converting 51% of their third downs in conference play. Buffalo is only converting 36%. Ohio's red zone is also good enough to create a major advantage as they've held 4 conference opponents to 46% on just 13 attempts.
Joe Licata is only a sophomore starting at QB and he's been good, but a 139 QB rating and facign an Ohio pass rush that's ranked 4th in sack % and ranked 7th with a 10.53 sack % on the road. I think the weak schedule finally catches up to this Buffalo team as Ohio pulls the game out.
