SMU / Missouri State O60.5 3.3% play
SMU's high-octane offense, averaging 43.5 points per game and fresh off a 45-point performance against Baylor, is poised to exploit Missouri State's struggling defense that surrenders a whopping 46.5 points per contest, potentially scoring 50 or more on their own. Missouri State, despite being an FCS team transitioning to FBS, showed offensive capability in their recent 21-20 upset over Marshall, where QB Jacob Clark threw for 359 yards and three touchdowns, and they could add 20+ points against SMU's defense allowing 30.5 per game. The combined averages of these teams result in 60.5 points scored and 77 allowed per game, with SMU's contests alone averaging 65.5 total points this season, making the over on 60 a strong likelihood in this mismatch.
