UTSA holds a 5-1 edge in the all-time series. However, they fell hard last year away from home, dropping a 49-10 decision while dealing with injuries. Texas State poured on 35 straight points and dominated in yardage, 504-334, ending a four-game run where the away team had covered the spread. Now hosting, the Roadrunners are hungry for redemption after that blowout. They've got a clear advantage in returning players too (ranked #38 compared to #103 for the Bobcats). Head coach Jeff Traylor boasts a stellar 29-3 record in San Antonio, with setbacks only against Army (twice) and a top-ranked Houston squad. UTSA came up short last week against Texas A&M, 42-24, but hung tough—down just four points heading into the third quarter—while racking up 203 rushing yards against an SEC defense and beating the spread as 23.5-point underdogs. Texas State kicked off with a convincing 52-27 win over Eastern Michigan, piling up 606 yards and four touchdown throws from Brad Jackson, though they were clinging to a slim 24-17 lead at halftime. Dating back to 2019, UTSA is 16-8 against the spread following a straight-up defeat, showing they excel at bouncing back under Traylor. Look for the Roadrunners to settle the score with a double-digit victory in what should be a shootout.