Louisville -1 1.1% Free play
Louisville certainly has more opt outs for this game, but I have many more question marks for Washington. For starters I don't think Jed Fish is a better coach than Jeff Brohm and actually I don't think it is even close. He started getting a jumpstart on next year by benching Will Rogers for a mobile QB in Williams. I know Fisch has studied under a lot of great coaches, but they were just very bad at some basic things this year like run defense ranking 124th in success, red zone offense, on the road 30% conversions into TD's, special teams where they rank 130th, pass blocking 108th. Lousiville will be without their starting QB, and best REceiver but they are getting another one back at WR from a red shirt. Lousiville is a team that took 3 playoff teams to the wire losing by a TD in two, Notre DAme, SMU, and beating Clemson. Washington was as inconsistent as any team this year, and I expect Louisville to still put up points and be able to establish the run.
