SAm Houston +155 2% play

I think there is good value here given that Clay Helton has not performed well in bowl games.  This Georgia Southern team is worse than last year's team that lost 41-21 to Ohio.  Against Buffalo the year before they were much better and still lost to a Buffalo team that was -1.2 ypp differential vs. -0.38.  Sam Houston is not good offensively, but they have played some good defenses, and their QB Watson got hurt for a few games that definitely impacted their overall ratings.  Georgia Sothern's inability to get after the QB 126th in pressure rate, and stop the run 119th in ypc, 115th in rushing success rate.  While Sam Houston plays very good defense ranking 13th in ypp against a decent schedule of offenses.  They have their DC staying for this game and many of the players that opted to transfer are playing in this game.  It's their first bowl game, and a chance at a 10 win season.