Penn State +3.5 3.3% play

This is the largest bet game on Saturday, and you have 80% of tickets and money on Oregon at the moment. Three of Oregons wins came by 3 points or less.  I don’t think there is more of an even match up on Saturday than this one.  The only reason we are seeing 3 + the hook on a neutral field is James Franklin can’t win big games.  He has not been able to beat Michigan or Ohio State, but in comes Oregon the best team in the Big Ten this season, but the stats show that these teams are pretty even.  When I look at success rate with garbage time out Penn State averages 25.5 rank in the country compared to oregon 27.6.  These teams have 7 common opponents, Oregon +19.7ppg +150ypg, while Penn State +21.9ppg +143ypg.  Penn State’s defense holding opponents 100 yards less than their season average, Oregon held opponents 84 yards under season average.  Penn State has the better run defense here.