San Jose State +14.5 2.2% play

The biggest issue for San Jose State has been the turnovers ranking 124th in turnover % per possession.  However, Boise is 102nd on defense forcing turnovers per possession.  I really think Boise is feeling the pressure of the college football playoff and this is a bad match up for them.  San Jose State is a bit under rated they have a +1.4 ypp differential on the season.  They are a pass first team, they have a good coach, and they protect their QB.  Boise State ranks 104th in opposing QB rating, and as we all know their offense is led by their RB Jeanty, well San Jose State is 29th in ypc allowed.  They’re at home with house money here, and should always be in striking distance.