LSU -2.5 2.2% PLAY

Seems like a lot of people are giving Arkansas a lot of credit for the hogs win over Tennessee last time out, but I don’t know how good Tennessee really is.  LSU on paper looks like the better team, and now they are under a field goal. I think the lazy handicap is fade LSU off an upset OT win vs. a team coming off a bye, but I think Brian Kelly will have his team ready.  I really like Arkansas coaching staff, but I think they would prefer coming off a bye going up against an opponent where they have more of an advantage.  LSU is the best offense Arkansas has faced they can run and pass, but they really pass 61% of the time.  They protect their QB ranking 3rd in sack % allowed, and they have been decent in turnovers per possession, and third down offense.  Arkansas ranks 87th in passing success rate defense and will be tested here if they can’t get to the QB.

Offensively Arkansas led by Taylen Green is a fun offense to watch, but I really don’t enjoy their inconsistencies at time.   They will be able to move the ball at times, but LSU ranks 4th ins ack %, and Arkansas 94th in protecting the QB could be their undoing in this one.  Arkansas ranks 79th in turnovers per possession as well, 98th in special teams efficiency.  It kind of feels like this game is going to be a bit back and forth, but I think LSU has the better shot to win it at the end.