Ole Miss -8.5 2.2% play

 

South Carolina seems to be the public dog this week on the account that they beat Kentucky on the road while Ole Miss lot to them at home, but I think we are getting maybe a TD of value because of that, and I think we see a focused Ole Miss team looking to bounce back here.  Ole Miss offense put up 50+ on South Carolina last time they played, and I think the Ole miss defensive front is going to give South Carolina’s offensive line, which has been awful a lot of issues in this game.  South Carolina ranking 134th in sack %, while Ole Miss ranks 21st. I think we may see a close game early, but with Ole Miss pulling away late as they have a significant advantage when we look at success rate averages of 9.16 compared to South Carolina’s average of 76.67, but the line value is the biggest edge here as Ole Miss was a 15.5 point favorite against Kentucky, and would have been 10.5 on the road, while South Carolina was a 9.5 dog on the road to Kentucky which suggests that if this game happened a few weeks back Ole Miss would have been 16-18 point favorite, but instead we have a spread under 10 with a team that will want to make a statement given the fact that they have hopes of contending for the SEC crown and a college football playoff spot.

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