Arkansas +195 2% ML dog of the week
Both of these teams are 3-1 and 1-0 in the SEC heading into this neutral site game at Jerry World. I missed the line move last week with Arkansas against Auburn and decided not to play them, but this week i’m just going to take them on the money line. Arkansas and Auburn are pretty much the same team from a run first offense, and they have similar #’s as far as rushing success and rushing success defense. I think Arkansas has the better QB who can be multi dimensional, and we saw that in their lone loss against Oklahoma State on the road where they had nearly a +300 yard advantage and a 21-0 lead that they blew. Arkansas is also the better third down offense and defense, and I think the Aggies are still trying to figure themselves out under the new head coach MIke Elko. Not sure who is going to play at QB for the Aggies today, but I give the edge to Arkansas defense who ranks 26th in explosive plays allowed, and is very good holding opponents to less than 50% TD’s in the red zone.
