Georgia Tech +5 2.2% play Georgia Tech +180 1%
I think this game offers a ton of variance to be honest, which is why I also like the money line here. When you have two teams that are very similar in the fact that they play fast, rely on explosive plays have good quality mobile QBs, with defenses that really struggle ranking outside the top 100 in success rate, while the offenses are both in the top 50 in success rate offense. Both offenses struggle with turnovers ranking 102nd, and 103rd in % of possessions ending in turnovers, but I like Georgia Tech who has been better at forcing turnovers. They also seem to have the better rushing offense when you factor in strength of schedule. Overall these teams are very much even, and Georgia Tech proved under Key that this team could play with anyone. They also had some head scratching losses along the way, Boston College and Bowling Green, but played right with Ole MIss and Georgia. I think Georgia Tech will be motivated to win a bowl game, while UCF and Malzahn who is only 3-6 straight up in bowl game.
Georgia Tech vs. bad success rate defenses went 3-1 averging over 36 points per game. Their lone loss was the odd game to BC where they turned the ball over a bunch. UCF vs. bad SR defenses went 1-2 losing to Kansas and Baylor, before beating an inconcsinstent Houston team to close out the season. AGainst bad run defense teams, Georgia Tech went 2-1, while UCF went 1-2, with their lone win being a miselading game against Cincinnati. These two met last year, where Georgia TEch lost on the road, but outgained UCF by 105 yards, and Key was not the head coach at the time. I trust Key getting his players up for this game, and will expect them to be excited. This is a team that played right with Ole MIss and Georgia, and Louisville and wins over North Carolina and Miami. UCF's most impressive win was against Oklahoma State at home in a game Oklahoma State was off an upset over Oklahoma, which was a huge win and a clear let down spot.
