App State +5.5 1.1% Free Play
This is the best offense that Troy’s defense has faced since Kansas State, a game they lost 13-42. App State is also very balanced running and passing the ball making them difficult to defend, and they have also owned Troy in the past having no problem putting points up on them. They have actually won 7 of 8 meetings and 3 of the last 4 were actual blowouts. Looking at the YPP and Success Rate #’s there really there is really not a bigger difference separating these two teams so I feel like getting 5.5 on App State is a bit of a bargain here. Can Troy’s offense take advantage of App State’s defensive weakness? App State ranks top 30 in QB rating defense, and they are top 25 in sack rate, but their run defense at times has been terrible, ranking 88th in rushing success rate defense, but Troy’s rushing offense is the weakness of the team as they rank 91st in ypc, and 103rd in rushing success rate. In a way you could say App State is being disrespected being the only team to beat James Madison and on the road, and they took North Carolina to the wire on the road. Although they went 3-3 on the road they had some pretty challenging spots, and were in every game.
