Cinci +4 2.2% play / Cinci +155 0.3% play

Cinci at 2-6 is fighting for their first Big 12 win against a beatable opponent that they are familiar with in UCF.  UCF comes into this game ranking 121st in ypc defense, 129th in rushing success rate run defense, 124th in possessions ending in turnovers.  Their defense has really struggled with mobile QB’s, which Cinci has in Emory Jones.  I’m not super excited to back Scott Satterfeld again here, but I think it’s a favorable match up.  UCF must run the ball to win, and Cinci ranks 22nd in rushing success rate defense.  I think being back at home will help them in this game