Iowa State +7 -120 1.2% play

Iowa State has faced elite level defense so far, and the offense is gaining confidence and hitting strides.  Overall they faced an average 24th ranked ypp defense, an average opponent 31st ranked passing success ranked defense, and 27th opponent success rate defense.  It’s a pass first offense and they’ll get a chance to attack TCU who ranks 106th in passing success rate.  Iowa State has not turned the ball over, and they play good defense especially at home.  I think we are getting value with this number, and Matt Campbell 10-4-1 ATS as a home dog.  It’s an 8pm home game against a team that went to the college football playoff.  TCU just lost last week and gave up 200+ yards on the ground to West Virginia, a team that always struggles to play on the road.