Purdue +17 -120 2.5% play
Purdue is a very under rated team in my opinion when you look at their schedule they could very easily be 10-2 instead of 8-4. Their loss against Penn State to open the season could have gone either way, and then their loss against Syracuse on the road on a busted coverage should have gone the other way. I think Purdue matches up well in the sense that their defensive strength is against the run. They rank 28th in epa run defense, and Michigan runs the ball 61% of the time. I don’t see Michigan really hucking the ball all over the field here. They just need to win and don’t need to be taking chances throwing the ball.
On the flip side Purdue offers something that Michigan just doesn’t really see that often. A throwing competent offense. We saw Michigan struggle a little bit against Maryland who is a throw first team and plays good run defense. Purdue ranks 25th in success rate defense 21st in third down defense and should be able to slow Michigan down enough while I think the rest of this Purdue football team rallies around their QB Aidan McConnel who obviously has been through a lot in the past week losing his brother. I think this game will be much closer and much more interesting to watch.
