Notre Dame vs. USC Premium Play - 424-356 +$118,187 L 780 3% rated NCAAF picks

FREDDY WILLS RELEASED PICK - NOTRE DAME VS. USC PREMIUM PLAY - 424-356 +$118,187 L 780 3% RATED NCAAF PICKS

Nov 26, 2022 07:31 PM Freddy Wills

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Notre Dame +5 3.3% play

I like the Irish here and think they match up very well against USC who is very terrible on first down defense. What does that mean? It means Notre Dame should set themselves up in 3rd and short. They should be able to run the ball as USC ranks 120th in epa run defense. This game reminds me of the game against North Carolina earlier in the year, and side by side North Carolina and USC have a ton of similarities. Notre Dame won that game easily on the road.

USC has been living on the turnover game, while we benefited last week it was yet again the defense coming through with some key turnovers. However, Notre Dame top 50 in turnovers per possession. This game reminds me of the Oregon State game. Oregon State top defense, very good run offense, not a good QB Oregon State lost 14-17, but really dominated that game, and should have won. Side by side Notre Dame slightly better than Oregon State. Oregon State was a +3.5 dog in that game. I think Notre Dame is live here and the line is a bit inflated given a college football spot is up for grabs. Think this will be a close game and Notre Dame will be motivated to play spoiler here.

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