App STate -3 2.2% play
Huge strength of schedule discrepancy here as App State's top 3 oppnents are better than any of Coastal's opponents. Coastal also only played 1 opponent with a +ypp differential and got beat 21-49 at home to Old Dominion who is +0.3 with an average opponent ypp diff of -0.15. App State is also +0.3, but vs. an average opponent +0.17. App State has a head scratching loss on their resume against Texas State, but Texas State top 50 run defense, Coastal ranks 80th in ypc defense, and 109th in qb rating defense.
Coastal lost a ton of talen from last year's team they still have their QB, and the offense has been dominant ranking 20th in ypp, but their average opponent defense ranks 92.42. I think App State has a big advantage in the trenches here and won't be intimidated by Coastal Carolina considering they went on the road and beat TExas AM this year.
