Iowa State +1.5 2.2% play
Iowa State 0-4 in Big 12 play, but their losses are by a total of 14 points, and I think they are on the right track with their 3 point loss to Texas as Hunter Dekkers played by far his best game, and will be aided by the fact that they are facing at eam who ranks 106th in ypc defense, and at home again.
Oklahoma on the other hand are playing their toughest defense all season. They are 0-3 when facing a top 50 run defense. Iowa State ranks 10th in ypc defense, and 15th in third down defense. I think we see a tight game, but I don’t see why Oklahoma is a favorite here. These teams have played similar strength of schedules, but I’ll go with the far better defense catching points at home. Matt Campbell is 6-3 ATS at Iowa State with extra preparation during the regular season and is 9-3-2 ATS as a home dog.
