Indiana +11.5 2.2% play
Indiana is a well-coached team, and we certainly have the better coach in this spot at home getting double digits. I think it could be a flat spot for Maryland team off the home loss to Purdue. Is it that time for Maryland’s season to unravel or are they mentally strong enough to push through and win by double digits? I know they’ll be in a dog fight early in this game, Indiana trailed Michigan 17-10 into the 4th quarter last week, and I don’t think Maryland will handle it as well.
Indiana has faced a far tougher schedule with an opponent YPP differential of +1.48, compared to Maryland -0.28. Maryland’s defense has been very good surprisingly, but the one thing Indiana is going to throw at them is the passing game something that they did not handle well last week against Purdue and that was at home. Indiana also plays with a ton of tempo #1 in seconds per play, which may hurt them or help them. I’m betting it helps them as Marylands defense ranks 93rd in 3rd down defense. Remember, Indiana won at home to open the season over a much improved Illinois team.
