Oklahoma +9.5 3.3 %play
I’m a believer that injuries in the market are typically over rated especially at the QB situation, and we have a great spot here as Dillon Gabriel likely out with the concussion and Texas likely getting their 5* QB Quin Ewers back. This to me is just a crazy line move and when you factor in Oklahoma over the last 10 years have been a favorite in every game by an average of 10.15 points. Now Texas has covered that spread in 7 of those games, but now they’re the favorite, and I don’t think it’s warranted on a neutral field in a rivalry game.
I expect the rest of the Oklahoma team to step up here, and I still think they will have success running the ball they rank 5th in epa run offense compared to Texas who ranks 64th. Their run defense has not been great, but they just faced two top 10 rushing attacks. While Texas is great at running the ball they still rank 64th in epa run offense, and I think Oklahoma could force some turnovers into a relatively unknown Quinn Ewers. I think we are getting Oklahoma in a great spot off back to back losses. I would still argue that Oklahoma has the better defense. I also think Texas is still getting far too much credit for their close loss against Alabama.
