California +4 2.2% play
These two teams are pretty evenly matched and Cal is tested on the road already by their tough game at Notre Dame. Cal is +0.4 ypp differential on the season vs. an average opponent -0.2, while Washingto State is +0.2 vs. a -0.56 so very similar, but better #’s against tougher competition for Cal. I think Wash State is maybe getting too much credit for their win at Wisconsin, and their close game against Oregon last week. We had Wash State +7 last week, and despite them blowing a lead, and even needing a hail mary of sorts to cover they were out gained by 196 yards to Oregon.
Cal’s defense and HC Justin Wilcox should have their team ready and unless they don’t tackle well should hold this offense that likes to make quick passes in check. They lost last year’s meeting, cut I’m expecting a low scoring close battle, and Wilcox is 14-4 ATS as a road dog at Cal. Nobody wants any part of Cal with 68% of the action on Wash State.
