Purdue -16.5 2.2% play
Purdue was my POD last week at Syracuse, and we clearly were on the right side as Purdue outgained the Orange 485-306, and had an 80% post game win expectancy, but unfortunately we lost on a 30 yard pass play as Purdue played zero coverage for some odd reason. I think Purdue bounces back against a poorly coached FAU team. FAU is known for running it up against bad teams, and struggling against good teams, particularly against solid defenses. FAU agaisnt a top 60 ypp defense under Taggart as their head coach has gone 2-9 and have averaged only 13.4 ppg. Purdue is 53rd and 36th vs. the run, and I don’t see this FAU passing offense being able to take advantage of some of Purdue’s weaknesses in the secondary especially on the road. On the flip side Purdue’s offense is going up agaisnt FAU’s 104th ranked defense, which I s111th vs. the pass. All in all it’s just a very bad match up for FAU, and Purdue is clearly hungry for a win after starting 1-2. I think we are getting a very nice number from 20 down to 16.5 because of Aidan O’connel is questionable. O’Connel a realtively big name, but not worth this many points to the spread, and he may still start. If he doesn’t then I see this team rallying for a big blowout win. Austin Burton, the UCLA transfer is fully capable of running this offense and will give Purdue offense more in the running game.
