Kentucky + 6 3.3% play 

I think we are getting a ton of value with Kentucky here after Florida upset Utah last week in the swamp.  Anthony Richardson is a top 5 Heisman candidate and an unranked Flroida team is now ranked #12, it’s almost laughable.  I like Billy Napier as the HC, but lets just slow down a bit.  Even Napier said it was going to take some time, and Kentucky has had Florida’s number the last few years and now we are getting a few extra points based on last week’s results.   I also like that Kentucky had a MAC team in week 1, and were able to prepare a bit for Florida over the summer while Florida was focused on top 10 Utah.  A Utah team that really shot themselves in the foot coming away with 0 points on two trips inside the 10, and of their 6 trips in the red zone they turned it over twice, and settled for 2FG’s.  They were able to move the ball with ease on this Florida defense.

Kentucky plays with a lot of passion and a chip on their shoulder, and I like their chances here to contain Anthony Richardson who has a lot more to prove at this point.  Kentucky really held Richardson in check in last year’s meeting, and I think they can force him to be a passer.  Richardson did not have a single attempt to the left side of the field, which to me just goes to show you that he’s got to gain a lot more confidence.

Kentucky has some injuries at RB, but I think they’ll be just fine and Will Levis at QB is a capable runner here.  Kentucky also holds the edge in special teams and are a far better tackling team.  Again, I like Napier, but this is too much credit.  One of the reasons Dan Mullen got fired was talent, and recruiting and I just think this ends up being a close game.

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