Rams +3 3.3% play
News came out on some covid issues for the Rams with Ramsey being out, and TE Higbee, but teams, and players tend to step up in these situations where stars are out, and we are getting better odds because these players are out. 82% of the money is on the Cardinals here tonight yet this line has not moved to 3.5. It may within the next hour, but it's very telling the fact that it hasn't moved there.
We still have the coaching advantage here with McVeigh over Kingsbury. In fact, McVeigh was 8-0 SU & ATS vs. Cardinals until their last meeting, and there were a few outliers that happened in that game. Situationally, Rams just came off the win over Tampa Bucs, and riding high, and they got smoked against a Cardinals team looking to make a point. The Rams uncharecteristically gave up 216 yards rushging. Rams are #3 in EPA run defense, Previoulsy had held Kyler Murray to 46 yards rushing in 4 games, and 5 TD, 4 INT. The Rams were also 0-1 on 4th down, -2 TO margin and 2-4 in the red zone. A lot happened in that game that did not go right for the Rams and I expect a different outcome.
The Cardinals have not exactly been great at home. They were lucky to beat the Vikings, missed FG at the end by the Vikings. Lucky to beat the 49ers 17-10 who had their rookie QB starting. They lost to GB, but that could have gone either way. The Panthers beat them 34-10, and their only dominating win was against the league's worst Texans. At the end of the day the Rams are +1.1 ypp differential, while the Cardinals are +0.5 against similar competition. Cardinals rank 27th in ypc allowed, and no longer have JJ Watt in the lineup. Rams lost several players since the first match up, but also added some, and I do believe there is a coachign advantage here with McVeigh. He had won 8 of the last 9 before the last game, 7 of which game by double digits.
